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icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

NEW
May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$184 Vol.

Polymarket

Drake

$184 Vol.

90%

Olivia Rodrigo

$0 Vol.

44%

Don Toliver

$0 Vol.

42%

Kanye West

$0 Vol.

42%

Taylor Swift

$0 Vol.

42%

Bruno Mars

$0 Vol.

42%

Alex Warren

$0 Vol.

42%

Olivia Dean

$0 Vol.

41%

Noah Kahan

$0 Vol.

36%

Bad Bunny

$0 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated May 2, marking her fourth chart-topper and signaling strong streaming and sales momentum from its lead-single buzz ahead of her album rollout, boosting her position in Spotify daily charts. Meanwhile, Drake's trader consensus dominates as the frontrunner, fueled by hype around his ninth studio album *Iceman* set for May 15 release—his catalog is already surging on Billboard 200 amid fan anticipation for blockbuster streaming debuts typical of his track record. Ella Langley's long-running "Choosin' Texas" (multiple weeks at No. 1 earlier) slips to No. 2, highlighting shifting dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly Spotify Top 50 USA updates and Drake's drop, with sparse major competition in May releases amplifying frontrunners' edges amid volatile chart trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$184
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated May 2, marking her fourth chart-topper and signaling strong streaming and sales momentum from its lead-single buzz ahead of her album rollout, boosting her position in Spotify daily charts. Meanwhile, Drake's trader consensus dominates as the frontrunner, fueled by hype around his ninth studio album *Iceman* set for May 15 release—his catalog is already surging on Billboard 200 amid fan anticipation for blockbuster streaming debuts typical of his track record. Ella Langley's long-running "Choosin' Texas" (multiple weeks at No. 1 earlier) slips to No. 2, highlighting shifting dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly Spotify Top 50 USA updates and Drake's drop, with sparse major competition in May releases amplifying frontrunners' edges amid volatile chart trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$184
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Drake" at 90%, followed by "Olivia Rodrigo" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is "Drake" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivia Rodrigo" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.