Skip to main content
icon for Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

icon for Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

350k-400k 40%

300k-350k 38%

450k+ 32%

400k-450k 27%

Polymarket
NEW

350k-400k 40%

300k-350k 38%

450k+ 32%

400k-450k 27%

Polymarket
NEW

<200k

$338 Vol.

3%

200k-250k

$353 Vol.

5%

250k-300k

$72 Vol.

12%

300k-350k

$68 Vol.

38%

350k-400k

$68 Vol.

40%

400k-450k

$68 Vol.

27%

450k+

$78 Vol.

32%

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 450k+ (42%) and 350k-400k (40%) first-week album units for Olivia Rodrigo's "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love," reflecting strong pre-release momentum tempered by debut uncertainty. Over 100,000 pure pre-sales via her U.S. store—exceeding Guts' 302k total debut benchmark—multiple editions sold out, and 2.77 million Spotify pre-saves (up 30k last week) point to robust streaming, fueled by lead single "Drop Dead"'s recent Hot 100 #1. Yesterday's massive Unraveled Tour announcement boosts promo, but swing factors include competing June 12 releases and Hits Daily Double tracking updates, with historical patterns suggesting upside if streams convert at scale.

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$1,046
End Date
Jun 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 450k+ (42%) and 350k-400k (40%) first-week album units for Olivia Rodrigo's "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love," reflecting strong pre-release momentum tempered by debut uncertainty. Over 100,000 pure pre-sales via her U.S. store—exceeding Guts' 302k total debut benchmark—multiple editions sold out, and 2.77 million Spotify pre-saves (up 30k last week) point to robust streaming, fueled by lead single "Drop Dead"'s recent Hot 100 #1. Yesterday's massive Unraveled Tour announcement boosts promo, but swing factors include competing June 12 releases and Hits Daily Double tracking updates, with historical patterns suggesting upside if streams convert at scale.

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$1,046
End Date
Jun 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "350k-400k" at 40%, followed by "300k-350k" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?" is "350k-400k" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "300k-350k" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.