Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Las Vegas Raiders at 85.8% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, anchored by the March collapse of a proposed blockbuster trade to Baltimore—two future first-round picks that fell through after a physical snag—prompting the five-time Pro Bowl EDGE rusher to publicly recommit as "a Raider for life" via fan video and statements. Raiders GM John Spytek reiterated excitement over retaining Crosby amid a repaired player-team relationship, with the club fielding but rebuffing inquiries post-NFL Draft while managing his $30 million cap hit under his current extension. Realistic challenges include a superior trade offer from pass-rush-needy teams like Tennessee or Jacksonville, contract restructuring disputes, or injury concerns shifting leverage before training camp.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 80.1%
Buffalo Bills 5.5%
Detroit Lions 5.3%
Cincinnati Bengals 5.0%
$202,190 Vol.
$202,190 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
86%
Buffalo Bills
5%
Detroit Lions
5%
Cincinnati Bengals
5%
Green Bay Packers
4%
Philadelphia Eagles
4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4%
Washington Commanders
2%
Chicago Bears
1%
Baltimore Ravens
1%
Dallas Cowboys
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Carolina Panthers
1%
New Orleans Saints
1%
Houston Texans
1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
15%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Tennessee Titans
22%
Denver Broncos
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
-
Las Vegas Raiders 80.1%
Buffalo Bills 5.5%
Detroit Lions 5.3%
Cincinnati Bengals 5.0%
$202,190 Vol.
$202,190 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
86%
Buffalo Bills
5%
Detroit Lions
5%
Cincinnati Bengals
5%
Green Bay Packers
4%
Philadelphia Eagles
4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4%
Washington Commanders
2%
Chicago Bears
1%
Baltimore Ravens
1%
Dallas Cowboys
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Carolina Panthers
1%
New Orleans Saints
1%
Houston Texans
1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
15%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Tennessee Titans
22%
Denver Broncos
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
-
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Las Vegas Raiders at 85.8% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, anchored by the March collapse of a proposed blockbuster trade to Baltimore—two future first-round picks that fell through after a physical snag—prompting the five-time Pro Bowl EDGE rusher to publicly recommit as "a Raider for life" via fan video and statements. Raiders GM John Spytek reiterated excitement over retaining Crosby amid a repaired player-team relationship, with the club fielding but rebuffing inquiries post-NFL Draft while managing his $30 million cap hit under his current extension. Realistic challenges include a superior trade offer from pass-rush-needy teams like Tennessee or Jacksonville, contract restructuring disputes, or injury concerns shifting leverage before training camp.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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