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icon for Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

icon for Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

32% chance
Polymarket
NEW
32% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 73% implied probability for Mike Vrabel remaining New England Patriots head coach through December 31, 2026, reflecting his solidified position despite a recent off-field scandal with ESPN reporter Dianna Russini. Vrabel missed Day 3 of the 2026 NFL Draft last week to seek counseling but swiftly returned to Gillette Stadium, vowing to be a "better version of himself" amid team support from owner Robert Kraft and players like QB Drake Maye. His transformative 2025 campaign—elevating a 3-14 roster to Super Bowl LX while earning AP NFL Coach of the Year—outweighs offseason distractions, bolstering faith in his job security entering the 2026 season with recent staff additions like Terrell Williams.

This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.

An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$5,508
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 73% implied probability for Mike Vrabel remaining New England Patriots head coach through December 31, 2026, reflecting his solidified position despite a recent off-field scandal with ESPN reporter Dianna Russini. Vrabel missed Day 3 of the 2026 NFL Draft last week to seek counseling but swiftly returned to Gillette Stadium, vowing to be a "better version of himself" amid team support from owner Robert Kraft and players like QB Drake Maye. His transformative 2025 campaign—elevating a 3-14 roster to Super Bowl LX while earning AP NFL Coach of the Year—outweighs offseason distractions, bolstering faith in his job security entering the 2026 season with recent staff additions like Terrell Williams.

This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.

An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$5,508
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 27% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 27¢, the market collectively assigns a 27% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" is 27% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 27% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.