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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Apex 92%

Swapped 6%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 1.5%

The Proposal 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Apex 92%

Swapped 6%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 1.5%

The Proposal 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Apex

$952 Vol.

92%

Swapped

$418 Vol.

6%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$374 Vol.

2%

The Proposal

$332 Vol.

2%

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$349 Vol.

1%

Den of Thieves

$434 Vol.

1%

Thrash

$446 Vol.

1%

180

$446 Vol.

1%

Bugonia

$489 Vol.

1%

Roommates

$523 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Apex commands an overwhelming 87% implied probability as the top US Netflix movie this week, propelled by its blockbuster debut on April 24 starring Charlize Theron and Taron Egerton in a high-octane survival thriller remake of The Most Dangerous Game. The film racked up 38.2 million views in its first full week per Netflix's Top 10 report, surging to No. 1 domestically and globally while sustaining dominance through April 30 per FlixPatrol charts. Trailing challengers like Roommates (No. 2) and rising Bugonia (No. 5) lack comparable streaming metrics, while Swapped's 9% reflects animated buzz from its Michael B. Jordan-led trailer but no current viewership traction. Final weekly charts lock soon, with Apex's momentum signaling trader consensus on its frontrunner status amid light competition.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,762
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Apex commands an overwhelming 87% implied probability as the top US Netflix movie this week, propelled by its blockbuster debut on April 24 starring Charlize Theron and Taron Egerton in a high-octane survival thriller remake of The Most Dangerous Game. The film racked up 38.2 million views in its first full week per Netflix's Top 10 report, surging to No. 1 domestically and globally while sustaining dominance through April 30 per FlixPatrol charts. Trailing challengers like Roommates (No. 2) and rising Bugonia (No. 5) lack comparable streaming metrics, while Swapped's 9% reflects animated buzz from its Michael B. Jordan-led trailer but no current viewership traction. Final weekly charts lock soon, with Apex's momentum signaling trader consensus on its frontrunner status amid light competition.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,762
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

45%
icon for Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

92%
icon for Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

36%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apex" at 92%, followed by "Swapped" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Apex" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Swapped" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.