Skip to main content
Sports·UFC

Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia

Polymarket
Alexander Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez
Unanimous Decision
Rafa Garcia
Rafa Garcia
$1.18M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1M Vol.

Totals

$1.0K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$1.7K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$1.1K Vol.

Hernandez to win by KO/TKO?

$523 Vol.

Garcia to win by KO/TKO?

$322 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$77 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexander Hernandez defeats Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafa Garcia defeats Alexander Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.In the lightweight prelims at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal (UFC Vegas 116), Alexander Hernandez (18-8) enters as trader consensus favorite after recent knockout wins over Diego Ferreira and Chase Hooper, showcasing his explosive power and top-5 knockout highlights that pressure durable foes. Rafa Garcia (18-4), riding a win streak including a gritty stoppage of Jared Gordon, counters with resilience, grappling threats, and cardio for decisions, backed by strong recent form at the Apex. No confirmed injuries or weigh-in issues emerged in the final 48 hours, though Hernandez discussed a prior cancelled bout in camp interviews; stylistic clash favors Hernandez's striking volume early, but Garcia's takedown defense could extend to a grinder.

This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.

It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,184,340
End Date
Apr 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Garcia vs. Hernandez” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Rafa Garcia and the Alexander Hernandez, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Garcia is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Hernandez at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Garcia vs. Hernandez” market has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Garcia vs. Hernandez,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows RAF3 at 100¢ and ALE at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Garcia vs. Hernandez” show Rafa Garcia at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Alexander Hernandez at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Garcia vs. Hernandez” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia

Polymarket
Alexander Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez
Unanimous Decision
Rafa Garcia
Rafa Garcia
$1.18M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1M Vol.

Totals

$1.0K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$1.7K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$1.1K Vol.

Hernandez to win by KO/TKO?

$523 Vol.

Garcia to win by KO/TKO?

$322 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$77 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexander Hernandez defeats Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafa Garcia defeats Alexander Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.In the lightweight prelims at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal (UFC Vegas 116), Alexander Hernandez (18-8) enters as trader consensus favorite after recent knockout wins over Diego Ferreira and Chase Hooper, showcasing his explosive power and top-5 knockout highlights that pressure durable foes. Rafa Garcia (18-4), riding a win streak including a gritty stoppage of Jared Gordon, counters with resilience, grappling threats, and cardio for decisions, backed by strong recent form at the Apex. No confirmed injuries or weigh-in issues emerged in the final 48 hours, though Hernandez discussed a prior cancelled bout in camp interviews; stylistic clash favors Hernandez's striking volume early, but Garcia's takedown defense could extend to a grinder.

This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.

It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,184,340
End Date
Apr 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Garcia vs. Hernandez” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Rafa Garcia and the Alexander Hernandez, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Garcia is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Hernandez at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Garcia vs. Hernandez” market has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Garcia vs. Hernandez,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows RAF3 at 100¢ and ALE at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Garcia vs. Hernandez” show Rafa Garcia at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Alexander Hernandez at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Garcia vs. Hernandez” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.