PSG claimed a thrilling 5-4 first-leg victory over Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League semi-finals, fueled by Ousmane Dembélé's standout performance, but suffered a blow with Achraf Hakimi ruled out of the second leg at Allianz Arena due to a hamstring tear sustained late in the match. Meanwhile, Arsenal secured a hard-fought 1-1 draw at Atlético Madrid amid VAR controversies and penalties from Julián Álvarez and Viktor Gyökeres, positioning the Gunners favorably for the home return leg. With aggregate ties delicately poised ahead of May 5-6 second legs—Arsenal hosting Atleti and Bayern welcoming PSG—trader consensus reflects home advantage, squad depth, and recent momentum, though upsets remain possible in these high-stakes knockout clashes marked by injuries like Kai Havertz's absence for Arsenal's first leg and Atlético's Pablo Barrios sidelined.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$594,549 Vol.

Arsenal
70%

Bayern München
51%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
50%

Atlético Madrid
31%
$594,549 Vol.

Arsenal
70%

Bayern München
51%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
50%

Atlético Madrid
31%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...PSG claimed a thrilling 5-4 first-leg victory over Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League semi-finals, fueled by Ousmane Dembélé's standout performance, but suffered a blow with Achraf Hakimi ruled out of the second leg at Allianz Arena due to a hamstring tear sustained late in the match. Meanwhile, Arsenal secured a hard-fought 1-1 draw at Atlético Madrid amid VAR controversies and penalties from Julián Álvarez and Viktor Gyökeres, positioning the Gunners favorably for the home return leg. With aggregate ties delicately poised ahead of May 5-6 second legs—Arsenal hosting Atleti and Bayern welcoming PSG—trader consensus reflects home advantage, squad depth, and recent momentum, though upsets remain possible in these high-stakes knockout clashes marked by injuries like Kai Havertz's absence for Arsenal's first leg and Atlético's Pablo Barrios sidelined.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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