Trader consensus favors Aston Villa at 66% implied probability to reach the UEFA Europa League final despite a narrow 1-0 first-leg semi-final deficit to Nottingham Forest, driven by Unai Emery's four-time winner pedigree and their dominant 7-1 aggregate quarter-final thrashing of Bologna, with the decisive second leg at Villa Park on May 7 offering home advantage. Freiburg holds 55% odds after a 2-1 loss at Braga, bolstered by their convincing 6-1 quarter-final rout of Celta Vigo and strong Bundesliga form, positioning them well for the return fixture. Braga (46%) and Forest (37%) lead on aggregate but face tougher away tests, amid minor injury concerns like Forest's absent Murillo. Second legs on May 6/7 will clarify paths to the May 20 Istanbul showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$18,155 Vol.
Braga
57%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Aston Villa
49%
Freiburg
43%
$18,155 Vol.
Braga
57%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Aston Villa
49%
Freiburg
43%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after June 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after June 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Aston Villa at 66% implied probability to reach the UEFA Europa League final despite a narrow 1-0 first-leg semi-final deficit to Nottingham Forest, driven by Unai Emery's four-time winner pedigree and their dominant 7-1 aggregate quarter-final thrashing of Bologna, with the decisive second leg at Villa Park on May 7 offering home advantage. Freiburg holds 55% odds after a 2-1 loss at Braga, bolstered by their convincing 6-1 quarter-final rout of Celta Vigo and strong Bundesliga form, positioning them well for the return fixture. Braga (46%) and Forest (37%) lead on aggregate but face tougher away tests, amid minor injury concerns like Forest's absent Murillo. Second legs on May 6/7 will clarify paths to the May 20 Istanbul showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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