Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 57.5% implied probability for the Champions League semifinal second leg at Allianz Arena, reflecting strong home advantage after PSG's narrow 5-4 first-leg win in Paris on April 28. Bayern's attacking firepower—evidenced by Harry Kane and four away goals—positions them to overturn the aggregate deficit, bolstered by PSG's major blow: key right-back Achraf Hakimi ruled out with a hamstring tear sustained in the opener. PSG, reigning champions with potent form from Ousmane Dembélé and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, hold 24.5% for an away win to secure advancement, while a draw at 19.5% suits neither fully amid high-stakes tension and Bayern's historical edge in 16 winless head-to-heads against PSG.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 57.5% implied probability for the Champions League semifinal second leg at Allianz Arena, reflecting strong home advantage after PSG's narrow 5-4 first-leg win in Paris on April 28. Bayern's attacking firepower—evidenced by Harry Kane and four away goals—positions them to overturn the aggregate deficit, bolstered by PSG's major blow: key right-back Achraf Hakimi ruled out with a hamstring tear sustained in the opener. PSG, reigning champions with potent form from Ousmane Dembélé and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, hold 24.5% for an away win to secure advancement, while a draw at 19.5% suits neither fully amid high-stakes tension and Bayern's historical edge in 16 winless head-to-heads against PSG.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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