Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability that Roku (ROKU) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.34–$0.35 EPS and $1.2 billion revenue, fueled by the company's streak of four consecutive quarterly beats, including a standout Q4 2025 EPS surprise of +89% above estimates. Recent analyst upgrades—Jefferies' Outperform with $140 price target, Guggenheim's $130 target hike—underscore bullish momentum from robust streaming hours exceeding 38 billion, platform revenue acceleration (+18% year-over-year guidance), and ad market recovery amid Roku's U.S. connected TV market share gains. While conviction is high, risks include softer-than-expected advertising spend or elevated content costs pressuring margins ahead of today's after-market release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.33 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.33 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability that Roku (ROKU) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.34–$0.35 EPS and $1.2 billion revenue, fueled by the company's streak of four consecutive quarterly beats, including a standout Q4 2025 EPS surprise of +89% above estimates. Recent analyst upgrades—Jefferies' Outperform with $140 price target, Guggenheim's $130 target hike—underscore bullish momentum from robust streaming hours exceeding 38 billion, platform revenue acceleration (+18% year-over-year guidance), and ad market recovery amid Roku's U.S. connected TV market share gains. While conviction is high, risks include softer-than-expected advertising spend or elevated content costs pressuring margins ahead of today's after-market release.
As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.33 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.33 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,098End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.33 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.33 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability that Roku (ROKU) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.34–$0.35 EPS and $1.2 billion revenue, fueled by the company's streak of four consecutive quarterly beats, including a standout Q4 2025 EPS surprise of +89% above estimates. Recent analyst upgrades—Jefferies' Outperform with $140 price target, Guggenheim's $130 target hike—underscore bullish momentum from robust streaming hours exceeding 38 billion, platform revenue acceleration (+18% year-over-year guidance), and ad market recovery amid Roku's U.S. connected TV market share gains. While conviction is high, risks include softer-than-expected advertising spend or elevated content costs pressuring margins ahead of today's after-market release.
As of market creation, Roku is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Roku's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.33 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roku reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.33 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Roku releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$1,218End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability that Roku (ROKU) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.34–$0.35 EPS and $1.2 billion revenue, fueled by the company's streak of four consecutive quarterly beats, including a standout Q4 2025 EPS surprise of +89% above estimates. Recent analyst upgrades—Jefferies' Outperform with $140 price target, Guggenheim's $130 target hike—underscore bullish momentum from robust streaming hours exceeding 38 billion, platform revenue acceleration (+18% year-over-year guidance), and ad market recovery amid Roku's U.S. connected TV market share gains. While conviction is high, risks include softer-than-expected advertising spend or elevated content costs pressuring margins ahead of today's after-market release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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