Trader consensus heavily favors Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman Zach Werenski at 84.9% implied probability for the James Norris Memorial Trophy, driven by his league-leading even-strength goals and points alongside elite defensive metrics like blocks and shots on goal, all while anchoring a non-playoff squad as their top scorer with 81 points (22 goals, 59 assists) in 75 games. Recent end-of-season trackers, including NHL.com polls where he overtook two-time winner Cale Makar around April 14, underscore his surge past challengers amid voter momentum. Edmonton Oilers' Evan Bouchard trails at 10.8% despite leading defensemen points at 95, but faces scrutiny for high giveaways and late-season slumps on a contender; Makar's 4.8% reflects a slowdown. Finalists announcement on May 7 could shift sentiment, though Werenski's all-situations impact positions him strongly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZach Werenski 86.1%
Cale Makar 8.4%
Evan Bouchard 7.9%
Quinn Hughes 3.1%
$327,762 Vol.
$327,762 Vol.
Zach Werenski
86%
Cale Makar
8%
Evan Bouchard
11%
Quinn Hughes
3%
Darnell Nurse
1%
Adam Larsson
1%
Sean Durzi
1%
Erik Karlsson
1%
Rasmus Dahlin
1%
Lane Hutson
1%
Luke Hughes
1%
Colton Parayko
1%
Rasmus Andersson
1%
Jake Sanderson
1%
Charlie McAvoy
1%
Simon Edvinsson
1%
Vince Dunn
1%
Morgan Rielly
1%
Neal Pionk
1%
Dougie Hamilton
1%
Brock Faber
1%
Travis Sanheim
1%
Jackson LaCombe
1%
Cam Fowler
1%
Owen Power
1%
Aaron Ekblad
1%
MacKenzie Weegar
1%
Alex Vlasic
1%
Noah Dobson
1%
Filip Hronek
1%
Seth Jones
1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Thomas Harley
<1%
Devon Toews
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Jaccob Slavin
<1%
Ryker Evans
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Moritz Seider
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Drew Doughty
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Brady Skjei
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Philip Broberg
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
Zach Werenski 86.1%
Cale Makar 8.4%
Evan Bouchard 7.9%
Quinn Hughes 3.1%
$327,762 Vol.
$327,762 Vol.
Zach Werenski
86%
Cale Makar
8%
Evan Bouchard
11%
Quinn Hughes
3%
Darnell Nurse
1%
Adam Larsson
1%
Sean Durzi
1%
Erik Karlsson
1%
Rasmus Dahlin
1%
Lane Hutson
1%
Luke Hughes
1%
Colton Parayko
1%
Rasmus Andersson
1%
Jake Sanderson
1%
Charlie McAvoy
1%
Simon Edvinsson
1%
Vince Dunn
1%
Morgan Rielly
1%
Neal Pionk
1%
Dougie Hamilton
1%
Brock Faber
1%
Travis Sanheim
1%
Jackson LaCombe
1%
Cam Fowler
1%
Owen Power
1%
Aaron Ekblad
1%
MacKenzie Weegar
1%
Alex Vlasic
1%
Noah Dobson
1%
Filip Hronek
1%
Seth Jones
1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Thomas Harley
<1%
Devon Toews
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Jaccob Slavin
<1%
Ryker Evans
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Moritz Seider
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Drew Doughty
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Brady Skjei
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Philip Broberg
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman Zach Werenski at 84.9% implied probability for the James Norris Memorial Trophy, driven by his league-leading even-strength goals and points alongside elite defensive metrics like blocks and shots on goal, all while anchoring a non-playoff squad as their top scorer with 81 points (22 goals, 59 assists) in 75 games. Recent end-of-season trackers, including NHL.com polls where he overtook two-time winner Cale Makar around April 14, underscore his surge past challengers amid voter momentum. Edmonton Oilers' Evan Bouchard trails at 10.8% despite leading defensemen points at 95, but faces scrutiny for high giveaways and late-season slumps on a contender; Makar's 4.8% reflects a slowdown. Finalists announcement on May 7 could shift sentiment, though Werenski's all-situations impact positions him strongly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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