New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer dominates trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for the Calder Trophy following his record-shattering 2025-26 rookie campaign as the No. 1 overall pick from the 2025 NHL Draft. Leading all first-year players with 59 points, 36 assists, and a league-record-tying 23 goals for a rookie blueliner—highlighted by tying Brian Leetch's mark on April 9—plus top power-play production and 24-plus average time on ice, he pulled decisively ahead per NHL.com's April 12 tracker entering the regular season's final week, which concluded April 15 without challengers gaining ground. Scenarios like Professional Hockey Writers' Association bias toward high-scoring forwards such as Ivan Demidov (2.5%) remain the only realistic, albeit slim, threats to his lock status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMatthew Schaefer 98.7%
Ivan Demidov 1.6%
Luca Del Bel Belluz <1%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
$469,609 Vol.
$469,609 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
99%
Ivan Demidov
2%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
Matthew Schaefer 98.7%
Ivan Demidov 1.6%
Luca Del Bel Belluz <1%
Beckett Sennecke <1%
$469,609 Vol.
$469,609 Vol.
Matthew Schaefer
99%
Ivan Demidov
2%
Luca Del Bel Belluz
<1%
Beckett Sennecke
<1%
Alex Bump
<1%
Helge Grans
<1%
Isaac Howard
<1%
Jimmy Snuggerud
<1%
Zeev Buium
<1%
Calum Ritchie
<1%
Levi Merilainen
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Arseniy Gritsyuk
<1%
Michael Misa
<1%
Oliver Kapanen
<1%
Zayne Parekh
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Nikita Chibrikov
<1%
Ryan Leonard
<1%
Samuel Honzek
<1%
Linus Karlsson
<1%
Owen Pickering
<1%
Sam Rinzel
<1%
Artyom Levshunov
<1%
Rutger McGroarty
<1%
Joakim Kemell
<1%
Justin Sourdif
<1%
Danila Yurov
<1%
Logan Mailloux
<1%
Jett Luchanko
<1%
Easton Cowan
<1%
James Hagens
<1%
Maxim Shabanov
<1%
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
<1%
Liam Ohgren
<1%
Colton Dach
<1%
Cameron Lund
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
<1%
Dmitri Simashev
<1%
Seamus Casey
<1%
Brennan Othmann
<1%
Oliver Moore
<1%
Tom Willander
<1%
Karsen Dorwart
<1%
Liam Greentree
<1%
Daniil But
<1%
Carter King
<1%
Trevor Connelly
<1%
Shane Lachance
<1%
Dans Locmelis
<1%
Justin Robidas
<1%
Fabian Lysell
<1%
Ethan Del Mastro
<1%
Maveric Lamoureux
<1%
Scott Morrow
<1%
Noah Ostlund
<1%
Ville Ottavainen
<1%
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
<1%
Rory Kerins
<1%
Luca Cagnoni
<1%
Gabe Perreault
<1%
Matthew Savoie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Bradly Nadeau
<1%
Fraser Minten
<1%
Jake O'Brien
<1%
Berkly Catton
<1%
Dalibor Dvorsky
<1%
Sam Dickinson
<1%
Matthew Wood
<1%
Jani Nyman
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Brad Lambert
<1%
Aydar Suniev
<1%
Jacob Fowler
<1%
Andrew Cristall
<1%
Ville Koivunen
<1%
Jack DeVine
<1%
Ozzy Wiesblatt
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer dominates trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for the Calder Trophy following his record-shattering 2025-26 rookie campaign as the No. 1 overall pick from the 2025 NHL Draft. Leading all first-year players with 59 points, 36 assists, and a league-record-tying 23 goals for a rookie blueliner—highlighted by tying Brian Leetch's mark on April 9—plus top power-play production and 24-plus average time on ice, he pulled decisively ahead per NHL.com's April 12 tracker entering the regular season's final week, which concluded April 15 without challengers gaining ground. Scenarios like Professional Hockey Writers' Association bias toward high-scoring forwards such as Ivan Demidov (2.5%) remain the only realistic, albeit slim, threats to his lock status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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