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icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Dan Vladar 43%

Quinn Hughes 42%

Dylan Guenther 42%

Alex Tuch 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Vladar 43%

Quinn Hughes 42%

Dylan Guenther 42%

Alex Tuch 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Vladar

$0 Vol.

43%

Quinn Hughes

$0 Vol.

42%

Dylan Guenther

$0 Vol.

42%

Alex Tuch

$0 Vol.

41%

Martin Necas

$0 Vol.

41%

Mitch Marner

$0 Vol.

40%

Cutter Guanthier

$0 Vol.

40%

Sebastian Aho

$0 Vol.

39%

Rasmus Dahlin

$0 Vol.

39%

David Pastrnak

$0 Vol.

38%

Nick Suzuki

$0 Vol.

38%

Seth Jarvis

$0 Vol.

38%

Clayton Keller

$0 Vol.

37%

Cole Caufield

$0 Vol.

36%

Andrei Vasilevskiy

$0 Vol.

36%

Nathan MacKinnon

$0 Vol.

23%

Jack Eichel

$0 Vol.

10%

Cale Makar

$0 Vol.

9%

Nikita Kucherov

$13 Vol.

7%

Connor McDavid

$43 Vol.

1%

Anze Kopitar

$0 Vol.

1%

Leon Draisaitl

$5 Vol.

1%

Linus Ullmark

$40 Vol.

1%

Jake Oettinger

$5 Vol.

1%

Sidney Crosby

$446 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy reflects an extraordinarily tight race, with Mitch Marner, Linus Ullmark, Dan Vladar, Anze Kopitar, and Alex Tuch all hovering around 46% implied probabilities amid ongoing Stanley Cup playoffs marked by balanced conference semifinals. No single contender has separated amid stellar postseason showings—Marner and Kopitar piling up playoff points with strong plus/minus ratings, while goalies Ullmark and Vladar anchor strong penalty kills and post impressive save percentages in high-stakes series. The crowded leaderboard underscores the wisdom of crowds pricing in multiple paths to a deep run, historical patterns favoring impactful performers on finalists or champions, and uncertainty from potential matchups, injuries, or momentum shifts keeping odds bunched without a clear MVP frontrunner.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$552
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy reflects an extraordinarily tight race, with Mitch Marner, Linus Ullmark, Dan Vladar, Anze Kopitar, and Alex Tuch all hovering around 46% implied probabilities amid ongoing Stanley Cup playoffs marked by balanced conference semifinals. No single contender has separated amid stellar postseason showings—Marner and Kopitar piling up playoff points with strong plus/minus ratings, while goalies Ullmark and Vladar anchor strong penalty kills and post impressive save percentages in high-stakes series. The crowded leaderboard underscores the wisdom of crowds pricing in multiple paths to a deep run, historical patterns favoring impactful performers on finalists or champions, and uncertainty from potential matchups, injuries, or momentum shifts keeping odds bunched without a clear MVP frontrunner.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$552
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Vladar" at 43%, followed by "Quinn Hughes" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is "Dan Vladar" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Quinn Hughes" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.