Connor McDavid's league-leading points total and scorching late-season surge—capping a dominant 2025-26 campaign with Edmonton Oilers securing a top playoff seed—have driven trader consensus to 58% implied probability for the Hart Memorial Trophy, underscoring his unmatched even-strength production and team carry. Nikita Kucherov's 26% share reflects Tampa Bay Lightning's sustained contention, bolstered by his elite assists and power-play mastery amid a healthy roster. Nathan MacKinnon's 15% trails due to Colorado Avalanche's solid standing but slightly lesser individual separation in the tight scoring race. Closing weeks saw McDavid pull ahead decisively in points per game, with no major injuries altering the top trio's momentum as playoffs loom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedConnor McDavid 53.9%
Nikita Kucherov 25.5%
Nathan MacKinnon 14%
Macklin Celebrini 2.2%
$474,678 Vol.
$474,678 Vol.
Connor McDavid
59%
Nikita Kucherov
26%
Nathan MacKinnon
14%
Macklin Celebrini
2%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Connor McDavid 53.9%
Nikita Kucherov 25.5%
Nathan MacKinnon 14%
Macklin Celebrini 2.2%
$474,678 Vol.
$474,678 Vol.
Connor McDavid
59%
Nikita Kucherov
26%
Nathan MacKinnon
14%
Macklin Celebrini
2%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connor McDavid's league-leading points total and scorching late-season surge—capping a dominant 2025-26 campaign with Edmonton Oilers securing a top playoff seed—have driven trader consensus to 58% implied probability for the Hart Memorial Trophy, underscoring his unmatched even-strength production and team carry. Nikita Kucherov's 26% share reflects Tampa Bay Lightning's sustained contention, bolstered by his elite assists and power-play mastery amid a healthy roster. Nathan MacKinnon's 15% trails due to Colorado Avalanche's solid standing but slightly lesser individual separation in the tight scoring race. Closing weeks saw McDavid pull ahead decisively in points per game, with no major injuries altering the top trio's momentum as playoffs loom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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