Trader consensus on the NL Comeback Player of the Year reflects a fiercely competitive early-season race, with top implied probabilities tightly bunched at 21-29% amid multiple injury returnees posting strong April numbers without a dominant standout. Braves outfielder Michael Harris II leads at 29% after surging to a .320 average and 6 home runs in 29 games, rebounding from prior setbacks to close the gap on Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara (27%), whose post-Tommy John command has held despite a shaky April 8th ejection against the Reds. Brewers righthander Brandon Woodruff (25%) shows ace form at 2-1, 3.77 ERA following spine surgery recovery, while Cubs arms Shota Imanaga (25%) and Porter Hodge (22.5%) fuel the pack via quality starts and reliever dominance, leaving odds fluid pending sustained performances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMichael Harris II 29%
Sandy Alcantara 27%
Tanner Scott 26%
Shota Imanaga 25%
$16,057 Vol.
$16,057 Vol.
Michael Harris II
29%
Sandy Alcantara
27%
Tanner Scott
26%
Shota Imanaga
25%
Brandon Woodruff
25%
Sean Manaea
24%
Porter Hodge
23%
Ezequiel Tovar
23%
Zack Wheeler
22%
O'Neil Cruz
7%
Michael Harris II 29%
Sandy Alcantara 27%
Tanner Scott 26%
Shota Imanaga 25%
$16,057 Vol.
$16,057 Vol.
Michael Harris II
29%
Sandy Alcantara
27%
Tanner Scott
26%
Shota Imanaga
25%
Brandon Woodruff
25%
Sean Manaea
24%
Porter Hodge
23%
Ezequiel Tovar
23%
Zack Wheeler
22%
O'Neil Cruz
7%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the NL Comeback Player of the Year reflects a fiercely competitive early-season race, with top implied probabilities tightly bunched at 21-29% amid multiple injury returnees posting strong April numbers without a dominant standout. Braves outfielder Michael Harris II leads at 29% after surging to a .320 average and 6 home runs in 29 games, rebounding from prior setbacks to close the gap on Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara (27%), whose post-Tommy John command has held despite a shaky April 8th ejection against the Reds. Brewers righthander Brandon Woodruff (25%) shows ace form at 2-1, 3.77 ERA following spine surgery recovery, while Cubs arms Shota Imanaga (25%) and Porter Hodge (22.5%) fuel the pack via quality starts and reliever dominance, leaving odds fluid pending sustained performances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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