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Economy·Jobs Report

How many jobs added in April?

icon for How many jobs added in April?
Economy·Jobs Report

How many jobs added in April?

May 8

May 8

50k – 100k 32%

0 – 50k 25%

100k – 150k 17%

150k – 200k 14%

Polymarket
NEW

50k – 100k 32%

0 – 50k 25%

100k – 150k 17%

150k – 200k 14%

Polymarket
NEW

<-50k

$3,005 Vol.

9%

-50k – 0

$1,540 Vol.

8%

0 – 50k

$1,535 Vol.

25%

50k – 100k

$259 Vol.

32%

100k – 150k

$328 Vol.

27%

150k – 200k

$470 Vol.

15%

200k – 250k

$261 Vol.

8%

250k+

$1,458 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a subdued April nonfarm payrolls print, with the 50k–100k bin leading at 29.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting labor market volatility. March's BLS report showed a 178,000 rebound from February's rare -133,000 contraction and 4.3% unemployment, but downside risks mounted from ADP's +62,000 private payrolls gain, contracting ISM manufacturing employment at 48.7, and initial jobless claims ticking to 214,000 for the week ended April 18. Consensus forecasts cluster near 60k–70k, per Trading Economics and MUFG, heightening sensitivity to tomorrow's BLS release, where a sub-50k surprise could validate bearish bets or a beat might spur FOMC rate cut repricing.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$8,715
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a subdued April nonfarm payrolls print, with the 50k–100k bin leading at 29.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting labor market volatility. March's BLS report showed a 178,000 rebound from February's rare -133,000 contraction and 4.3% unemployment, but downside risks mounted from ADP's +62,000 private payrolls gain, contracting ISM manufacturing employment at 48.7, and initial jobless claims ticking to 214,000 for the week ended April 18. Consensus forecasts cluster near 60k–70k, per Trading Economics and MUFG, heightening sensitivity to tomorrow's BLS release, where a sub-50k surprise could validate bearish bets or a beat might spur FOMC rate cut repricing.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$8,715
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many jobs added in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50k – 100k" at 32%, followed by "100k – 150k" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many jobs added in April?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "How many jobs added in April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many jobs added in April?" is "50k – 100k" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100k – 150k" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many jobs added in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.