Trader consensus positions **Israel** as the clear televote frontrunner at 35.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual pop ballad with broad emotional appeal and Israel's consistent televote strength, as echoed in bookmaker odds since its February reveal and EBU approval. **Greece** trails at 22% buoyed by Akylas' energetic "Ferto," winner of the February Sing for Greece national final, with a "Super Ferto" remix unveiled last week sparking fresh streaming and social buzz. **Finland** commands 19.5% on Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's dramatic violin-rock "Liekinheitin" from their UMK televote victory, though overall odds favor them for jury balance. All 35 entries released, semi-final draws allocated, and first rehearsals looming before Vienna semis on May 12–14, public polls and preview hype could shift dynamics rapidly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 22%
Finland 20%
Romania 4.8%
$6,384,585 Vol.
$6,384,585 Vol.
Israel
36%
Greece
22%
Finland
20%
Romania
5%
Ukraine
4%
Moldova
2%
France
2%
Italy
2%
Sweden
1%
Denmark
1%
Cyprus
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Poland
1%
Australia
1%
Malta
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Germany
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 22%
Finland 20%
Romania 4.8%
$6,384,585 Vol.
$6,384,585 Vol.
Israel
36%
Greece
22%
Finland
20%
Romania
5%
Ukraine
4%
Moldova
2%
France
2%
Italy
2%
Sweden
1%
Denmark
1%
Cyprus
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Poland
1%
Australia
1%
Malta
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Germany
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions **Israel** as the clear televote frontrunner at 35.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual pop ballad with broad emotional appeal and Israel's consistent televote strength, as echoed in bookmaker odds since its February reveal and EBU approval. **Greece** trails at 22% buoyed by Akylas' energetic "Ferto," winner of the February Sing for Greece national final, with a "Super Ferto" remix unveiled last week sparking fresh streaming and social buzz. **Finland** commands 19.5% on Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's dramatic violin-rock "Liekinheitin" from their UMK televote victory, though overall odds favor them for jury balance. All 35 entries released, semi-final draws allocated, and first rehearsals looming before Vienna semis on May 12–14, public polls and preview hype could shift dynamics rapidly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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