Skip to main content
icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

5% chance
Polymarket
NEW
5% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **California Assembly Bill 2624**, which would extend privacy protections to immigration support service providers by restricting the public release of certain identifying information, passed the Assembly on a 57-19 vote in late May before moving to the Senate. As of mid-June 2026, the measure has only been referred to Senate committees on privacy, judiciary, and public safety, with no further floor action or hearings scheduled. The short remaining calendar before the June 30 deadline makes completion of the required committee review, Senate passage, any necessary reconciliation, and gubernatorial signature highly improbable under standard legislative timelines. Trader consensus reflects these procedural barriers and the absence of any emergency fast-track signals from leadership. Late-session maneuvers or an extraordinary extension remain theoretically possible but face steep institutional hurdles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$543
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **California Assembly Bill 2624**, which would extend privacy protections to immigration support service providers by restricting the public release of certain identifying information, passed the Assembly on a 57-19 vote in late May before moving to the Senate. As of mid-June 2026, the measure has only been referred to Senate committees on privacy, judiciary, and public safety, with no further floor action or hearings scheduled. The short remaining calendar before the June 30 deadline makes completion of the required committee review, Senate passage, any necessary reconciliation, and gubernatorial signature highly improbable under standard legislative timelines. Trader consensus reflects these procedural barriers and the absence of any emergency fast-track signals from leadership. Late-session maneuvers or an extraordinary extension remain theoretically possible but face steep institutional hurdles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$543
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 5% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 5¢, the market collectively assigns a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" is 5% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.