Sam Burns holds the highest implied probability in this PGA Tour winner market due to his recent consistency and strong positioning at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley, including a top-two standing after two rounds following a T-4 at the Memorial Tournament. Tommy Fleetwood sits close behind on the strength of his ball-striking improvements and similar recent form. The bunched probabilities reflect a deep, competitive field where multiple players—including Keith Mitchell, Brooks Koepka, Bud Cauley, Hao-Tong Li, and Jackson Suber—remain within a handful of shots of the lead heading into the weekend, with no single standout separation in current strokes-gained metrics or course history at this venue. Defending champion Ryan Fox and other established names add further parity amid the absence of several top-ranked players.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSam Burns 14.9%
Tommy Fleetwood 11.8%
Keith Mitchell 7.1%
Brooks Koepka 5.8%
$604,724 Vol.
$604,724 Vol.
Sam Burns
15%
Tommy Fleetwood
12%
Keith Mitchell
7%
Brooks Koepka
6%
Jackson Suber
4%
Bud Cauley
4%
Hao-Tong Li
4%
Ryan Fox
4%
Jesper Svensson
3%
Harry Hall
2%
Sahith Theegala
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Matt Fitzpatrick
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Collin Morikawa
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Jimmy Stanger
1%
William Mouw
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Michael Thorbjornsen
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Kevin Yu
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Taylor Moore
<1%
Vince Whaley
<1%
Adam Svensson
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Keita Nakajima
<1%
Sam Ryder
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Adam Hadwin
<1%
Benjamin Silverman
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Erik Van Rooyen
<1%
Lanto Griffin
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Beau Hossler
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
Sam Burns 14.9%
Tommy Fleetwood 11.8%
Keith Mitchell 7.1%
Brooks Koepka 5.8%
$604,724 Vol.
$604,724 Vol.
Sam Burns
15%
Tommy Fleetwood
12%
Keith Mitchell
7%
Brooks Koepka
6%
Jackson Suber
4%
Bud Cauley
4%
Hao-Tong Li
4%
Ryan Fox
4%
Jesper Svensson
3%
Harry Hall
2%
Sahith Theegala
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Matt Fitzpatrick
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Collin Morikawa
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Jimmy Stanger
1%
William Mouw
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Michael Thorbjornsen
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Kevin Yu
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Taylor Moore
<1%
Vince Whaley
<1%
Adam Svensson
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Keita Nakajima
<1%
Sam Ryder
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Adam Hadwin
<1%
Benjamin Silverman
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Erik Van Rooyen
<1%
Lanto Griffin
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Beau Hossler
<1%
A.J. Ewart
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the RBC Canadian Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the RBC Canadian Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 20, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the RBC Canadian Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the RBC Canadian Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 20, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Sam Burns holds the highest implied probability in this PGA Tour winner market due to his recent consistency and strong positioning at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley, including a top-two standing after two rounds following a T-4 at the Memorial Tournament. Tommy Fleetwood sits close behind on the strength of his ball-striking improvements and similar recent form. The bunched probabilities reflect a deep, competitive field where multiple players—including Keith Mitchell, Brooks Koepka, Bud Cauley, Hao-Tong Li, and Jackson Suber—remain within a handful of shots of the lead heading into the weekend, with no single standout separation in current strokes-gained metrics or course history at this venue. Defending champion Ryan Fox and other established names add further parity amid the absence of several top-ranked players.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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