With all 16 teams alive in the best-of-five AHL division semifinals, trader consensus clusters tightly around 47-49% implied probabilities, underscoring the parity driving the Calder Cup futures market. Texas Stars edge as slight leader after their 5-4 overtime victory over Chicago Wolves on May 3 to tie that Central series 2-2, forcing a decisive Game 5 tonight in Chicago. Similarly, Cleveland Monsters lead North matchup 3-1 following a triple-overtime thriller against Syracuse Crunch, while Toronto Marlies hold a 2-1 edge on Laval Rocket. Six of eight series sit tied at 1-1—including Providence-Springfield, Hershey-Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Grand Rapids-Manitoba, Coachella Valley-Ontario—with Colorado's 1-0 shutout over Henderson the lone outlier, reflecting hot goaltending and resilient form keeping elimination risks balanced across the bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChicago Wolves 99%
Cleveland Monsters 99%
Coachella Valley Firebirds 99%
Colorado Eagles 99%
$10,200 Vol.
$10,200 Vol.
Chicago Wolves
99%
Cleveland Monsters
99%
Coachella Valley Firebirds
99%
Colorado Eagles
99%
Henderson Silver Knights
99%
Hershey Bears
99%
Laval Rocket
99%
Manitoba Moose
99%
Ontario Reign
99%
Providence Bruins
99%
Springfield Thunderbirds
99%
Texas Stars
99%
Toronto Marlies
99%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
99%
Grand Rapids Griffins
98%
Chicago Wolves 99%
Cleveland Monsters 99%
Coachella Valley Firebirds 99%
Colorado Eagles 99%
$10,200 Vol.
$10,200 Vol.
Chicago Wolves
99%
Cleveland Monsters
99%
Coachella Valley Firebirds
99%
Colorado Eagles
99%
Henderson Silver Knights
99%
Hershey Bears
99%
Laval Rocket
99%
Manitoba Moose
99%
Ontario Reign
99%
Providence Bruins
99%
Springfield Thunderbirds
99%
Texas Stars
99%
Toronto Marlies
99%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
99%
Grand Rapids Griffins
98%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of American Hockey League per the rules of American Hockey League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the American Hockey League; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of American Hockey League per the rules of American Hockey League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the American Hockey League; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With all 16 teams alive in the best-of-five AHL division semifinals, trader consensus clusters tightly around 47-49% implied probabilities, underscoring the parity driving the Calder Cup futures market. Texas Stars edge as slight leader after their 5-4 overtime victory over Chicago Wolves on May 3 to tie that Central series 2-2, forcing a decisive Game 5 tonight in Chicago. Similarly, Cleveland Monsters lead North matchup 3-1 following a triple-overtime thriller against Syracuse Crunch, while Toronto Marlies hold a 2-1 edge on Laval Rocket. Six of eight series sit tied at 1-1—including Providence-Springfield, Hershey-Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Grand Rapids-Manitoba, Coachella Valley-Ontario—with Colorado's 1-0 shutout over Henderson the lone outlier, reflecting hot goaltending and resilient form keeping elimination risks balanced across the bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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