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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin

Tom Tiffany 91%

Andy Manske 5.8%

Rebecca Kleefisch 3.3%

Sean Duffy 3.1%

Polymarket

$81,600 Vol.

Tom Tiffany 91%

Andy Manske 5.8%

Rebecca Kleefisch 3.3%

Sean Duffy 3.1%

Polymarket

$81,600 Vol.

Tom Tiffany

$6,614 Vol.

91%

Andy Manske

$3,267 Vol.

6%

Rebecca Kleefisch

$4,727 Vol.

3%

Sean Duffy

$36,238 Vol.

3%

Tommy Thompson

$3,395 Vol.

2%

Josh Schoemann

$3,716 Vol.

2%

Eric Hovde

$20,658 Vol.

1%

Tim Michels

$2,987 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary stems from President Trump's January endorsement, which prompted Josh Schoemann's immediate withdrawal and consolidated GOP support behind the frontrunner. Tiffany leads fundraising with over $2 million raised by January and launched a seven-figure statewide ad campaign on April 14 emphasizing property tax cuts and farmland protection, reinforcing his appeal to rural and conservative voters ahead of the August 11 primary. Early polls showed him at 40% in the GOP field, with challengers like Andy Manske and Rebecca Kleefisch trailing far behind amid a thinned primary roster. While dominant, a late high-profile entry by Tommy Thompson or a Tiffany scandal could shift trader consensus, though structural momentum favors the incumbent congressman.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$81,600
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary stems from President Trump's January endorsement, which prompted Josh Schoemann's immediate withdrawal and consolidated GOP support behind the frontrunner. Tiffany leads fundraising with over $2 million raised by January and launched a seven-figure statewide ad campaign on April 14 emphasizing property tax cuts and farmland protection, reinforcing his appeal to rural and conservative voters ahead of the August 11 primary. Early polls showed him at 40% in the GOP field, with challengers like Andy Manske and Rebecca Kleefisch trailing far behind amid a thinned primary roster. While dominant, a late high-profile entry by Tommy Thompson or a Tiffany scandal could shift trader consensus, though structural momentum favors the incumbent congressman.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$81,600
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Tiffany" con 91%, seguido de "Andy Manske" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $81.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "Tom Tiffany" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Andy Manske" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.