The ongoing federal trial pitting Elon Musk against Sam Altman and OpenAI, now entering its third day of Musk's testimony in Oakland federal court, anchors the 72% market-implied odds against settlement. Musk accuses Altman of betraying OpenAI's nonprofit origins—focused on open-source artificial intelligence for humanity's benefit—by pivoting to a closed-source, Microsoft-aligned for-profit entity, seeking $134 billion in damages, nonprofit restoration, and removal of Altman and Greg Brockman to enforce AI safety priorities. Newly revealed emails and diaries highlight irreconcilable visions, with OpenAI countering that Musk endorsed hybrid structures early on. No settlement signals have emerged amid intensifying cross-examinations, as traders price in a trial extending into late May amid xAI-OpenAI rivalry.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), are settled by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A settlement refers to an agreement between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that resolves all claims between them in this case, whether through a formal settlement agreement, stipulated dismissal, or other court-recognized resolution indicating that the claims between these two parties have been resolved. Announcements of such a settlement will qualify, regardless of whether final paperwork is completed or court approval occurs after the deadline.
Settlements involving other parties (e.g., OpenAI or any additional defendants) will not count unless they also resolve all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman.
If all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman are resolved through a final court judgment (e.g., trial verdict or dispositive ruling), or through a unilateral dismissal of claims not constituting a settlement, before any qualifying settlement occurs, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including filings, orders, or docket updates). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal trial pitting Elon Musk against Sam Altman and OpenAI, now entering its third day of Musk's testimony in Oakland federal court, anchors the 72% market-implied odds against settlement. Musk accuses Altman of betraying OpenAI's nonprofit origins—focused on open-source artificial intelligence for humanity's benefit—by pivoting to a closed-source, Microsoft-aligned for-profit entity, seeking $134 billion in damages, nonprofit restoration, and removal of Altman and Greg Brockman to enforce AI safety priorities. Newly revealed emails and diaries highlight irreconcilable visions, with OpenAI countering that Musk endorsed hybrid structures early on. No settlement signals have emerged amid intensifying cross-examinations, as traders price in a trial extending into late May amid xAI-OpenAI rivalry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), are settled by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A settlement refers to an agreement between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that resolves all claims between them in this case, whether through a formal settlement agreement, stipulated dismissal, or other court-recognized resolution indicating that the claims between these two parties have been resolved. Announcements of such a settlement will qualify, regardless of whether final paperwork is completed or court approval occurs after the deadline.
Settlements involving other parties (e.g., OpenAI or any additional defendants) will not count unless they also resolve all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman.
If all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman are resolved through a final court judgment (e.g., trial verdict or dispositive ruling), or through a unilateral dismissal of claims not constituting a settlement, before any qualifying settlement occurs, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including filings, orders, or docket updates). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A settlement refers to an agreement between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that resolves all claims between them in this case, whether through a formal settlement agreement, stipulated dismissal, or other court-recognized resolution indicating that the claims between these two parties have been resolved. Announcements of such a settlement will qualify, regardless of whether final paperwork is completed or court approval occurs after the deadline.
Settlements involving other parties (e.g., OpenAI or any additional defendants) will not count unless they also resolve all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman.
If all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman are resolved through a final court judgment (e.g., trial verdict or dispositive ruling), or through a unilateral dismissal of claims not constituting a settlement, before any qualifying settlement occurs, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including filings, orders, or docket updates). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Volumen
$6,261Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), are settled by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A settlement refers to an agreement between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that resolves all claims between them in this case, whether through a formal settlement agreement, stipulated dismissal, or other court-recognized resolution indicating that the claims between these two parties have been resolved. Announcements of such a settlement will qualify, regardless of whether final paperwork is completed or court approval occurs after the deadline.
Settlements involving other parties (e.g., OpenAI or any additional defendants) will not count unless they also resolve all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman.
If all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman are resolved through a final court judgment (e.g., trial verdict or dispositive ruling), or through a unilateral dismissal of claims not constituting a settlement, before any qualifying settlement occurs, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including filings, orders, or docket updates). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal trial pitting Elon Musk against Sam Altman and OpenAI, now entering its third day of Musk's testimony in Oakland federal court, anchors the 72% market-implied odds against settlement. Musk accuses Altman of betraying OpenAI's nonprofit origins—focused on open-source artificial intelligence for humanity's benefit—by pivoting to a closed-source, Microsoft-aligned for-profit entity, seeking $134 billion in damages, nonprofit restoration, and removal of Altman and Greg Brockman to enforce AI safety priorities. Newly revealed emails and diaries highlight irreconcilable visions, with OpenAI countering that Musk endorsed hybrid structures early on. No settlement signals have emerged amid intensifying cross-examinations, as traders price in a trial extending into late May amid xAI-OpenAI rivalry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), are settled by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A settlement refers to an agreement between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that resolves all claims between them in this case, whether through a formal settlement agreement, stipulated dismissal, or other court-recognized resolution indicating that the claims between these two parties have been resolved. Announcements of such a settlement will qualify, regardless of whether final paperwork is completed or court approval occurs after the deadline.
Settlements involving other parties (e.g., OpenAI or any additional defendants) will not count unless they also resolve all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman.
If all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman are resolved through a final court judgment (e.g., trial verdict or dispositive ruling), or through a unilateral dismissal of claims not constituting a settlement, before any qualifying settlement occurs, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including filings, orders, or docket updates). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A settlement refers to an agreement between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that resolves all claims between them in this case, whether through a formal settlement agreement, stipulated dismissal, or other court-recognized resolution indicating that the claims between these two parties have been resolved. Announcements of such a settlement will qualify, regardless of whether final paperwork is completed or court approval occurs after the deadline.
Settlements involving other parties (e.g., OpenAI or any additional defendants) will not count unless they also resolve all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman.
If all claims between Elon Musk and Sam Altman are resolved through a final court judgment (e.g., trial verdict or dispositive ruling), or through a unilateral dismissal of claims not constituting a settlement, before any qualifying settlement occurs, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including filings, orders, or docket updates). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,261Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing federal trial pitting Elon Musk against Sam Altman and OpenAI, now entering its third day of Musk's testimony in Oakland federal court, anchors the 72% market-implied odds against settlement. Musk accuses Altman of betraying OpenAI's nonprofit origins—focused on open-source artificial intelligence for humanity's benefit—by pivoting to a closed-source, Microsoft-aligned for-profit entity, seeking $134 billion in damages, nonprofit restoration, and removal of Altman and Greg Brockman to enforce AI safety priorities. Newly revealed emails and diaries highlight irreconcilable visions, with OpenAI countering that Musk endorsed hybrid structures early on. No settlement signals have emerged amid intensifying cross-examinations, as traders price in a trial extending into late May amid xAI-OpenAI rivalry.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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