Trader consensus has priced in an 86.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun at Foxconn and a September 2026 debut remains on track alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. April updates from Bloomberg and DigiTimes highlight progress on a book-style design with a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and 5.5-inch cover screen, despite late-stage manufacturing snags over hinge durability and pricing with suppliers like Samsung Display. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's predictions of advanced under-display tech align with Apple's pattern of entering mature markets like foldables only after perfecting key features. Upcoming catalysts include mass production ramp-up in summer 2026 and potential WWDC teasers, though engineering delays could still push into early 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$144,403 Vol.
$144,403 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$144,403 Vol.
$144,403 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus has priced in an 86.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun at Foxconn and a September 2026 debut remains on track alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. April updates from Bloomberg and DigiTimes highlight progress on a book-style design with a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and 5.5-inch cover screen, despite late-stage manufacturing snags over hinge durability and pricing with suppliers like Samsung Display. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's predictions of advanced under-display tech align with Apple's pattern of entering mature markets like foldables only after perfecting key features. Upcoming catalysts include mass production ramp-up in summer 2026 and potential WWDC teasers, though engineering delays could still push into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$144,403Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus has priced in an 86.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun at Foxconn and a September 2026 debut remains on track alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. April updates from Bloomberg and DigiTimes highlight progress on a book-style design with a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and 5.5-inch cover screen, despite late-stage manufacturing snags over hinge durability and pricing with suppliers like Samsung Display. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's predictions of advanced under-display tech align with Apple's pattern of entering mature markets like foldables only after perfecting key features. Upcoming catalysts include mass production ramp-up in summer 2026 and potential WWDC teasers, though engineering delays could still push into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$144,403Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus has priced in an 86.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun at Foxconn and a September 2026 debut remains on track alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. April updates from Bloomberg and DigiTimes highlight progress on a book-style design with a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and 5.5-inch cover screen, despite late-stage manufacturing snags over hinge durability and pricing with suppliers like Samsung Display. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's predictions of advanced under-display tech align with Apple's pattern of entering mature markets like foldables only after perfecting key features. Upcoming catalysts include mass production ramp-up in summer 2026 and potential WWDC teasers, though engineering delays could still push into early 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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