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Política·Trump

¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?

icon for ¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?
Política·Trump

¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?

$249,339 Vol.

1 ago 2026
Polymarket

$249,339 Vol.

Polymarket

JD Vance

$33,462 Vol.

88%

Shehbaz Sharif

$6,654 Vol.

65%

Abbas Araghchi

$11,617 Vol.

62%

Donald Trump

$47,716 Vol.

37%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$11,138 Vol.

34%

Jeque Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$6,944 Vol.

31%

Marco Rubio

$12,551 Vol.

18%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$1,113 Vol.

18%

Rey Abdullah II

$11,750 Vol.

16%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$2,054 Vol.

15%

Mohammed bin Salman

$4,894 Vol.

14%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$3,271 Vol.

11%

Steve Witkoff

$10,639 Vol.

11%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$29,995 Vol.

10%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$8,342 Vol.

10%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$706 Vol.

8%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$11,321 Vol.

7%

Pete Hegseth

$31,659 Vol.

4%

Ali Larijani

$4,042 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have finalized the text of a memorandum of understanding to extend the April 2026 ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end hostilities including in Lebanon, and establish a 60-day window for further talks on Iran’s nuclear program and sanctions relief. President Trump has publicly confirmed the framework’s completion and announced related measures such as lifting the US blockade, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have signaled readiness for signing as early as June 19 in Switzerland or remotely. Pakistan has mediated the process, with regional actors such as Israel referenced in discussions. Remaining steps center on technical nuclear implementation details and formal approvals before any comprehensive agreement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$249,339
Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have finalized the text of a memorandum of understanding to extend the April 2026 ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end hostilities including in Lebanon, and establish a 60-day window for further talks on Iran’s nuclear program and sanctions relief. President Trump has publicly confirmed the framework’s completion and announced related measures such as lifting the US blockade, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have signaled readiness for signing as early as June 19 in Switzerland or remotely. Pakistan has mediated the process, with regional actors such as Israel referenced in discussions. Remaining steps center on technical nuclear implementation details and formal approvals before any comprehensive agreement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$249,339
Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 88%, seguido de "Shehbaz Sharif" con 65%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 88¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" ha generado $249.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" es "JD Vance" con 88%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Shehbaz Sharif" con 65%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién firmará el acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.