Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for second-highest AI revenue during May 11-17, with Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Google, DeepSeek, Z.ai (Zhipu AI), MiniMax, and Xiaomi all implying roughly equal 41% probabilities, underscoring volatile weekly API earnings amid capacity constraints and surging demand. Anthropic recently claimed the overall lead via Claude's enterprise coding tools, pulling ahead of OpenAI's GPT models in Q1 2026 LLM revenue share per Counterpoint Research, but GPU shortages—prompting rentals from xAI's Colossus—risk throttling growth. Chinese providers like DeepSeek and MiniMax gain traction with cost-efficient open-weight models for high-volume developer use, while Google's Gemini and xAI's Grok hold steady on integrated ecosystems. Key swing factors include imminent compute expansions and any surprise capability demos before week's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOpenAI 93%
Google 5%
Anthropic 2.8%
DeepSeek 1.4%
OpenAI
93%
5%
Anthropic
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 93%
Google 5%
Anthropic 2.8%
DeepSeek 1.4%
OpenAI
93%
5%
Anthropic
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for second-highest AI revenue during May 11-17, with Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Google, DeepSeek, Z.ai (Zhipu AI), MiniMax, and Xiaomi all implying roughly equal 41% probabilities, underscoring volatile weekly API earnings amid capacity constraints and surging demand. Anthropic recently claimed the overall lead via Claude's enterprise coding tools, pulling ahead of OpenAI's GPT models in Q1 2026 LLM revenue share per Counterpoint Research, but GPU shortages—prompting rentals from xAI's Colossus—risk throttling growth. Chinese providers like DeepSeek and MiniMax gain traction with cost-efficient open-weight models for high-volume developer use, while Google's Gemini and xAI's Grok hold steady on integrated ecosystems. Key swing factors include imminent compute expansions and any surprise capability demos before week's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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