The contentious U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton anchors trader consensus at 47.1% for 1.2–1.5 million votes, tempering the record over 2 million GOP ballots from the March 3 first-round primary—where neither candidate won a majority—against historical runoff declines of 50–70%, as in recent special elections. Recent April polls showing Paxton leading 48–40% among likely voters have boosted base turnout expectations via intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, while voter fatigue risks position 0.9–1.2 million (27%) as the next likely outcome. Early voting starts May 18, ahead of the May 26 election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoParticipación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas
Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas
1.2–1.5M 39.9%
0.9–1.2M 29%
1.5–1.8M 17.6%
0.6–0.9M 8%
$82,872 Vol.
$82,872 Vol.
26 may 2026
<0,6M
3%
0.6–0.9M
8%
0.9–1.2M
29%
1.2–1.5M
46%
1.5–1.8M
18%
1.8–2.1M
7%
2,1–2,4M
2%
2.4–2.7M
1%
2,7M+
1%
1.2–1.5M 39.9%
0.9–1.2M 29%
1.5–1.8M 17.6%
0.6–0.9M 8%
$82,872 Vol.
$82,872 Vol.
26 may 2026
<0,6M
$939 Vol.
3%
0.6–0.9M
$53,124 Vol.
8%
0.9–1.2M
$934 Vol.
29%
1.2–1.5M
$20,237 Vol.
46%
1.5–1.8M
$516 Vol.
18%
1.8–2.1M
$1,659 Vol.
7%
2,1–2,4M
$1,645 Vol.
2%
2.4–2.7M
$2,408 Vol.
1%
2,7M+
$1,409 Vol.
1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The contentious U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton anchors trader consensus at 47.1% for 1.2–1.5 million votes, tempering the record over 2 million GOP ballots from the March 3 first-round primary—where neither candidate won a majority—against historical runoff declines of 50–70%, as in recent special elections. Recent April polls showing Paxton leading 48–40% among likely voters have boosted base turnout expectations via intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, while voter fatigue risks position 0.9–1.2 million (27%) as the next likely outcome. Early voting starts May 18, ahead of the May 26 election day.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volumen
$82,872Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The contentious U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton anchors trader consensus at 47.1% for 1.2–1.5 million votes, tempering the record over 2 million GOP ballots from the March 3 first-round primary—where neither candidate won a majority—against historical runoff declines of 50–70%, as in recent special elections. Recent April polls showing Paxton leading 48–40% among likely voters have boosted base turnout expectations via intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, while voter fatigue risks position 0.9–1.2 million (27%) as the next likely outcome. Early voting starts May 18, ahead of the May 26 election day.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$82,872Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The contentious U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton anchors trader consensus at 47.1% for 1.2–1.5 million votes, tempering the record over 2 million GOP ballots from the March 3 first-round primary—where neither candidate won a majority—against historical runoff declines of 50–70%, as in recent special elections. Recent April polls showing Paxton leading 48–40% among likely voters have boosted base turnout expectations via intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, while voter fatigue risks position 0.9–1.2 million (27%) as the next likely outcome. Early voting starts May 18, ahead of the May 26 election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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