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icon for OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?

OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?

icon for OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?

OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?

98% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

98% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12 under ticker SPCX, creating a roughly $1.7–2 trillion company, has driven overwhelming trader consensus on addition to the Nasdaq-100 this year. Nasdaq's updated eligibility rules, effective May 2026, explicitly fast-track top-40 market-cap IPOs into the index after just 15 trading days—bypassing prior seasoning and float requirements—positioning SpaceX for rebalancing around early July. Its scale and immediate public float meet every threshold, with analysts noting the change was designed for precisely this scenario. While near-certain, slim risks include unexpected regulatory holds on index mechanics or a sharp post-IPO valuation drop that shifts its ranking, though neither appears plausible given current momentum.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volumen
$6,807
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12 under ticker SPCX, creating a roughly $1.7–2 trillion company, has driven overwhelming trader consensus on addition to the Nasdaq-100 this year. Nasdaq's updated eligibility rules, effective May 2026, explicitly fast-track top-40 market-cap IPOs into the index after just 15 trading days—bypassing prior seasoning and float requirements—positioning SpaceX for rebalancing around early July. Its scale and immediate public float meet every threshold, with analysts noting the change was designed for precisely this scenario. While near-certain, slim risks include unexpected regulatory holds on index mechanics or a sharp post-IPO valuation drop that shifts its ranking, though neither appears plausible given current momentum.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volumen
$6,807
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿OPV de SpaceX: oficialmente añadida al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?" con 98%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?" es "¿OPV de SpaceX: oficialmente añadida al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "OPI de SpaceX: ¿se añadirá oficialmente al Nasdaq-100 en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.