Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, have driven market activity, with USDA-APHIS now reporting multiple livestock and pet infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause tissue damage in warm-blooded animals; the current northward spread from Mexico follows earlier outbreaks in Central America. Texas renewed its statewide disaster proclamation, New Mexico issued an emergency animal health declaration, and CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11. USDA is deploying sterile insect releases and quarantines within infested zones, while historical eradication relied on the same technique after U.S. elimination in the 1960s. Further case confirmations or federal escalation could shift odds ahead of ongoing surveillance updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NUEVO
1 ene 2027
30 de junio
6%
August 30
50%
31 de octubre
51%
December 31
52%
$150 Vol.
30 de junio
$150 Vol.
6%
August 30
$0 Vol.
50%
31 de octubre
$0 Vol.
51%
December 31
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, have driven market activity, with USDA-APHIS now reporting multiple livestock and pet infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause tissue damage in warm-blooded animals; the current northward spread from Mexico follows earlier outbreaks in Central America. Texas renewed its statewide disaster proclamation, New Mexico issued an emergency animal health declaration, and CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11. USDA is deploying sterile insect releases and quarantines within infested zones, while historical eradication relied on the same technique after U.S. elimination in the 1960s. Further case confirmations or federal escalation could shift odds ahead of ongoing surveillance updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volumen
$150Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, have driven market activity, with USDA-APHIS now reporting multiple livestock and pet infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause tissue damage in warm-blooded animals; the current northward spread from Mexico follows earlier outbreaks in Central America. Texas renewed its statewide disaster proclamation, New Mexico issued an emergency animal health declaration, and CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11. USDA is deploying sterile insect releases and quarantines within infested zones, while historical eradication relied on the same technique after U.S. elimination in the 1960s. Further case confirmations or federal escalation could shift odds ahead of ongoing surveillance updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$150Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, starting with a confirmed bovine case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, have driven market activity, with USDA-APHIS now reporting multiple livestock and pet infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause tissue damage in warm-blooded animals; the current northward spread from Mexico follows earlier outbreaks in Central America. Texas renewed its statewide disaster proclamation, New Mexico issued an emergency animal health declaration, and CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11. USDA is deploying sterile insect releases and quarantines within infested zones, while historical eradication relied on the same technique after U.S. elimination in the 1960s. Further case confirmations or federal escalation could shift odds ahead of ongoing surveillance updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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