Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock—first confirmed June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with additional cases in Texas and a dog in New Mexico—have intensified focus on potential federal action. USDA-APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and quarantine, supported by CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation on June 11 and FDA's emergency use authorization for nitenpyram. This obligate parasite causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and rarely humans; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 using sterile insect technique. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether escalating spread will prompt a formal national emergency declaration for expanded resources, with key variables including case counts, model projections of northward progression, and upcoming USDA/CDC surveillance updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NUEVO
1 ene 2027
30 de junio
6%
August 30
50%
31 de octubre
50%
December 31
51%
$150 Vol.
30 de junio
$150 Vol.
6%
August 30
$0 Vol.
50%
31 de octubre
$0 Vol.
50%
December 31
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock—first confirmed June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with additional cases in Texas and a dog in New Mexico—have intensified focus on potential federal action. USDA-APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and quarantine, supported by CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation on June 11 and FDA's emergency use authorization for nitenpyram. This obligate parasite causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and rarely humans; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 using sterile insect technique. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether escalating spread will prompt a formal national emergency declaration for expanded resources, with key variables including case counts, model projections of northward progression, and upcoming USDA/CDC surveillance updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volumen
$150Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock—first confirmed June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with additional cases in Texas and a dog in New Mexico—have intensified focus on potential federal action. USDA-APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and quarantine, supported by CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation on June 11 and FDA's emergency use authorization for nitenpyram. This obligate parasite causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and rarely humans; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 using sterile insect technique. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether escalating spread will prompt a formal national emergency declaration for expanded resources, with key variables including case counts, model projections of northward progression, and upcoming USDA/CDC surveillance updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$150Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock—first confirmed June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with additional cases in Texas and a dog in New Mexico—have intensified focus on potential federal action. USDA-APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and quarantine, supported by CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation on June 11 and FDA's emergency use authorization for nitenpyram. This obligate parasite causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock, wildlife, and rarely humans; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 using sterile insect technique. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether escalating spread will prompt a formal national emergency declaration for expanded resources, with key variables including case counts, model projections of northward progression, and upcoming USDA/CDC surveillance updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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