Paloma Valencia's sub-10% vote share in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential first round reflects the fragmentation of center-right support, as the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe ally placed third behind Abelardo de la Espriella's late surge to roughly 44% and Iván Cepeda's 41%. Earlier primary strength and polling gains gave way to voter consolidation around the outsider's security-focused platform, limiting Valencia's share to about 7% despite her established party infrastructure and endorsements. Official tallies and runoff dynamics confirm this outcome, though late shifts in turnout or legal challenges could still influence final certified figures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 98.6%
10-15% 1.4%
25-30% <1%
15-20% <1%
$12,449 Vol.
$12,449 Vol.
31 may 2026
<10%
99%
10-15%
1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 98.6%
10-15% 1.4%
25-30% <1%
15-20% <1%
$12,449 Vol.
$12,449 Vol.
31 may 2026
<10%
$6,669 Vol.
99%
10-15%
$1,384 Vol.
1%
15-20%
$296 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
25-30%
$2,327 Vol.
1%
30-35%
$466 Vol.
<1%
35%+
$245 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia's sub-10% vote share in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential first round reflects the fragmentation of center-right support, as the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe ally placed third behind Abelardo de la Espriella's late surge to roughly 44% and Iván Cepeda's 41%. Earlier primary strength and polling gains gave way to voter consolidation around the outsider's security-focused platform, limiting Valencia's share to about 7% despite her established party infrastructure and endorsements. Official tallies and runoff dynamics confirm this outcome, though late shifts in turnout or legal challenges could still influence final certified figures.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volumen
$12,449Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia's sub-10% vote share in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential first round reflects the fragmentation of center-right support, as the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe ally placed third behind Abelardo de la Espriella's late surge to roughly 44% and Iván Cepeda's 41%. Earlier primary strength and polling gains gave way to voter consolidation around the outsider's security-focused platform, limiting Valencia's share to about 7% despite her established party infrastructure and endorsements. Official tallies and runoff dynamics confirm this outcome, though late shifts in turnout or legal challenges could still influence final certified figures.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$12,449Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paloma Valencia's sub-10% vote share in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential first round reflects the fragmentation of center-right support, as the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe ally placed third behind Abelardo de la Espriella's late surge to roughly 44% and Iván Cepeda's 41%. Earlier primary strength and polling gains gave way to voter consolidation around the outsider's security-focused platform, limiting Valencia's share to about 7% despite her established party infrastructure and endorsements. Official tallies and runoff dynamics confirm this outcome, though late shifts in turnout or legal challenges could still influence final certified figures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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