Bobby Charles holds a trader consensus edge at 50.5% implied probability in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his narrow victory in the April 25 Maine GOP state convention straw poll—269 votes to Ben Midgley's 230 out of 844 ballots—bolstering his prior leads in UNH and other surveys. Midgley, at 24.5%, gained from an earlier party online straw poll marred by distribution issues, while Jonathan Bush trails closely at 24.8% amid a crowded eight-candidate field using ranked-choice voting. With the June 9 primary five weeks away, no major endorsements or shifts have emerged in the past week, keeping the race competitive for second- and third-choice votes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRobert Charles 54%
Jonathan Bush 25.1%
Ben Midgely 25%
Ken Capron 6.5%
$16,385 Vol.
$16,385 Vol.
9 jun 2026
Robert Charles
54%
Jonathan Bush
25%
Ben Midgely
25%
Ken Capron
6%
Owen McCarthy
2%
David Jones
<1%
Robert Wessels
<1%
James Libby
<1%
Robert Charles 54%
Jonathan Bush 25.1%
Ben Midgely 25%
Ken Capron 6.5%
$16,385 Vol.
$16,385 Vol.
9 jun 2026
Robert Charles
$4,751 Vol.
54%
Jonathan Bush
$4,220 Vol.
25%
Ben Midgely
$1,855 Vol.
25%
Ken Capron
$566 Vol.
6%
Owen McCarthy
$1,464 Vol.
2%
David Jones
$1,476 Vol.
<1%
Robert Wessels
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
James Libby
$924 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bobby Charles holds a trader consensus edge at 50.5% implied probability in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his narrow victory in the April 25 Maine GOP state convention straw poll—269 votes to Ben Midgley's 230 out of 844 ballots—bolstering his prior leads in UNH and other surveys. Midgley, at 24.5%, gained from an earlier party online straw poll marred by distribution issues, while Jonathan Bush trails closely at 24.8% amid a crowded eight-candidate field using ranked-choice voting. With the June 9 primary five weeks away, no major endorsements or shifts have emerged in the past week, keeping the race competitive for second- and third-choice votes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
Volumen
$16,385Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bobby Charles holds a trader consensus edge at 50.5% implied probability in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his narrow victory in the April 25 Maine GOP state convention straw poll—269 votes to Ben Midgley's 230 out of 844 ballots—bolstering his prior leads in UNH and other surveys. Midgley, at 24.5%, gained from an earlier party online straw poll marred by distribution issues, while Jonathan Bush trails closely at 24.8% amid a crowded eight-candidate field using ranked-choice voting. With the June 9 primary five weeks away, no major endorsements or shifts have emerged in the past week, keeping the race competitive for second- and third-choice votes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$16,385Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Charles holds a trader consensus edge at 50.5% implied probability in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his narrow victory in the April 25 Maine GOP state convention straw poll—269 votes to Ben Midgley's 230 out of 844 ballots—bolstering his prior leads in UNH and other surveys. Midgley, at 24.5%, gained from an earlier party online straw poll marred by distribution issues, while Jonathan Bush trails closely at 24.8% amid a crowded eight-candidate field using ranked-choice voting. With the June 9 primary five weeks away, no major endorsements or shifts have emerged in the past week, keeping the race competitive for second- and third-choice votes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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