In the wake of yesterday's televised Democratic primary debate for Maine governor, trader consensus favors former CDC Director Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability, reflecting his polling leads in March surveys like Impact Research (31%) and UNH Pine Tree (25%), bolstered by name recognition from pandemic leadership. Former Senate President Troy Jackson trails closely at 30%, gaining from labor support and calls for faster teacher pay hikes to $60,000, while ex-House Speaker Hannah Pingree holds 22% amid Sierra Club endorsement alongside Jackson and Secretary of State Shenna Bellows. The crowded ranked-choice primary on June 9 remains tight as candidates distanced from Gov. Janet Mills' vetoes on data centers and tribal sovereignty, with endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or fresh polls poised to create separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNirav Shah 39%
Troy Jackson 31%
Hannah Pingree 22%
Shenna Bellows 8.2%
$53,495 Vol.
$53,495 Vol.
Nirav Shah
39%
Troy Jackson
31%
Hannah Pingree
22%
Shenna Bellows
8%
Angus King III
5%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
Nirav Shah 39%
Troy Jackson 31%
Hannah Pingree 22%
Shenna Bellows 8.2%
$53,495 Vol.
$53,495 Vol.
Nirav Shah
39%
Troy Jackson
31%
Hannah Pingree
22%
Shenna Bellows
8%
Angus King III
5%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the wake of yesterday's televised Democratic primary debate for Maine governor, trader consensus favors former CDC Director Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability, reflecting his polling leads in March surveys like Impact Research (31%) and UNH Pine Tree (25%), bolstered by name recognition from pandemic leadership. Former Senate President Troy Jackson trails closely at 30%, gaining from labor support and calls for faster teacher pay hikes to $60,000, while ex-House Speaker Hannah Pingree holds 22% amid Sierra Club endorsement alongside Jackson and Secretary of State Shenna Bellows. The crowded ranked-choice primary on June 9 remains tight as candidates distanced from Gov. Janet Mills' vetoes on data centers and tribal sovereignty, with endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or fresh polls poised to create separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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