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Política·Primarias

IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Joe Mitchell 95.3%

Charlie McClintock 2.6%

Shannon Lundgren 1.0%

Polymarket

$22,800 Vol.

Joe Mitchell 95.3%

Charlie McClintock 2.6%

Shannon Lundgren 1.0%

Polymarket

$22,800 Vol.

Joe Mitchell

$6,079 Vol.

95%

Charlie McClintock

$1,919 Vol.

3%

Shannon Lundgren

$14,803 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Iowa state Representative Joe Mitchell holds a commanding lead in the IA-02 Republican primary trader consensus at 95.3%, fueled by high-profile endorsements from President Trump, House Speaker Mike Johnson, the NRCC's "MAGA Majority" program, CPAC, and Turning Point USA's Charlie Kirk group since January, alongside a dominant fundraising edge exceeding $1.3 million compared to rivals State Senator Charlie McClintock's $16,000 and Shannon Lundgren's $92,000 as of early April. His Trump administration experience and rapid consolidation of establishment and grassroots support in the open-seat race—following Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid—have narrowed the field, leaving minimal viable challengers ahead of the June 2 primary. While odds imply near-certainty, a late scandal, residency challenge given Mitchell's recent district move, or unexpected voter turnout surge for McClintock or Lundgren could shift dynamics in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,800
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Iowa state Representative Joe Mitchell holds a commanding lead in the IA-02 Republican primary trader consensus at 95.3%, fueled by high-profile endorsements from President Trump, House Speaker Mike Johnson, the NRCC's "MAGA Majority" program, CPAC, and Turning Point USA's Charlie Kirk group since January, alongside a dominant fundraising edge exceeding $1.3 million compared to rivals State Senator Charlie McClintock's $16,000 and Shannon Lundgren's $92,000 as of early April. His Trump administration experience and rapid consolidation of establishment and grassroots support in the open-seat race—following Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid—have narrowed the field, leaving minimal viable challengers ahead of the June 2 primary. While odds imply near-certainty, a late scandal, residency challenge given Mitchell's recent district move, or unexpected voter turnout surge for McClintock or Lundgren could shift dynamics in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,800
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Joe Mitchell" con 95%, seguido de "Charlie McClintock" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $22.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Joe Mitchell" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charlie McClintock" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.