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IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Casa Principal

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 90%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.9%

Kathy Dolter 1.7%

Don Primus 1.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lindsay James 90%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.9%

Kathy Dolter 1.7%

Don Primus 1.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lindsay James

$3,252 Vol.

90%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,562 Vol.

2%

Kathy Dolter

$1,847 Vol.

2%

Don Primus

$944 Vol.

1%

Guy Morgan

$1,090 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win the IA-02 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her dominant first-quarter 2026 fundraising of over $740,000 and $430,000 cash on hand, far outpacing rivals like Clint Twedt-Ball, Kathy Dolter, Don Primus, and Guy Morgan. Her Iowa House experience since 2023, Teamsters endorsement in February, and broad district support have solidified her frontrunner status in this open-seat race vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate bid. Recent April developments, including Twedt-Ball's Cedar Rapids office opening and affordability-focused forums, have not narrowed the gap, reflecting James's organizational edge as early voting nears.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$8,695
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win the IA-02 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her dominant first-quarter 2026 fundraising of over $740,000 and $430,000 cash on hand, far outpacing rivals like Clint Twedt-Ball, Kathy Dolter, Don Primus, and Guy Morgan. Her Iowa House experience since 2023, Teamsters endorsement in February, and broad district support have solidified her frontrunner status in this open-seat race vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate bid. Recent April developments, including Twedt-Ball's Cedar Rapids office opening and affordability-focused forums, have not narrowed the gap, reflecting James's organizational edge as early voting nears.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$8,695
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lindsay James" con 90%, seguido de "Clint Twedt-Ball" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Lindsay James" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Clint Twedt-Ball" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.