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Política·Casa Principal

IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Casa Principal

IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Christina Bohannan 91.5%

Travis Terrell 4.2%

Taylor Wettach 3.6%

Polymarket

$16,400 Vol.

Christina Bohannan 91.5%

Travis Terrell 4.2%

Taylor Wettach 3.6%

Polymarket

$16,400 Vol.

Christina Bohannan

$13,926 Vol.

91%

Travis Terrell

$2,473 Vol.

16%

Taylor Wettach

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary reflects her overwhelming fundraising edge—$5.1 million raised and $4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Travis Terrell's $19,000—bolstered by a standout 2024 general election performance where she fell short by just 799 votes against GOP incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, earning national Democratic attention. Recent April fundraising disclosures underscored her financial dominance, while competitors like Taylor Wettach withdrew in January to pursue state auditor, narrowing the field ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Terrell's grassroots appeal as a working-class healthcare advocate sustains modest odds, but traders see slim upset paths via Bohannan scandals, debate missteps, or viral momentum in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$16,400
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary reflects her overwhelming fundraising edge—$5.1 million raised and $4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Travis Terrell's $19,000—bolstered by a standout 2024 general election performance where she fell short by just 799 votes against GOP incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, earning national Democratic attention. Recent April fundraising disclosures underscored her financial dominance, while competitors like Taylor Wettach withdrew in January to pursue state auditor, narrowing the field ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Terrell's grassroots appeal as a working-class healthcare advocate sustains modest odds, but traders see slim upset paths via Bohannan scandals, debate missteps, or viral momentum in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$16,400
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Christina Bohannan" con 91%, seguido de "Travis Terrell" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $16.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Christina Bohannan" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Travis Terrell" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IA-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.