Trader consensus favors No Prison Time at 41.3% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped industry accountability, driven by his track record of overturned New York convictions—including the 2024 appeals court reversal—and a 2025 mistrial on the key rape charge now in its third trial. Jury selection began April 14, with opening statements April 21 and accuser Jessica Mann's pivotal testimony wrapping up this week amid intense cross-examination, injecting fresh uncertainty into resolution timelines expected within weeks. A skeptical California appellate panel last week bolstered odds for 20-30 years (24.9%) by likely upholding his 16-year sentence there, while his age-74 health crises and six years served fuel no-additional-time bets despite the partial 2025 sexual assault conviction pending sentencing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 41.3%
20-30 años 24.9%
Más de 30 años 13.2%
10-20 años 8.5%
$899,913 Vol.
$899,913 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
41%
<5 años
4%
5-10 años
5%
10-20 años
9%
20-30 años
25%
Más de 30 años
13%
Sin tiempo en prisión 41.3%
20-30 años 24.9%
Más de 30 años 13.2%
10-20 años 8.5%
$899,913 Vol.
$899,913 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$325,673 Vol.
41%
<5 años
$117,666 Vol.
4%
5-10 años
$65,455 Vol.
5%
10-20 años
$145,949 Vol.
9%
20-30 años
$184,231 Vol.
25%
Más de 30 años
$60,938 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors No Prison Time at 41.3% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped industry accountability, driven by his track record of overturned New York convictions—including the 2024 appeals court reversal—and a 2025 mistrial on the key rape charge now in its third trial. Jury selection began April 14, with opening statements April 21 and accuser Jessica Mann's pivotal testimony wrapping up this week amid intense cross-examination, injecting fresh uncertainty into resolution timelines expected within weeks. A skeptical California appellate panel last week bolstered odds for 20-30 years (24.9%) by likely upholding his 16-year sentence there, while his age-74 health crises and six years served fuel no-additional-time bets despite the partial 2025 sexual assault conviction pending sentencing.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$899,913Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors No Prison Time at 41.3% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped industry accountability, driven by his track record of overturned New York convictions—including the 2024 appeals court reversal—and a 2025 mistrial on the key rape charge now in its third trial. Jury selection began April 14, with opening statements April 21 and accuser Jessica Mann's pivotal testimony wrapping up this week amid intense cross-examination, injecting fresh uncertainty into resolution timelines expected within weeks. A skeptical California appellate panel last week bolstered odds for 20-30 years (24.9%) by likely upholding his 16-year sentence there, while his age-74 health crises and six years served fuel no-additional-time bets despite the partial 2025 sexual assault conviction pending sentencing.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$899,913Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors No Prison Time at 41.3% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped industry accountability, driven by his track record of overturned New York convictions—including the 2024 appeals court reversal—and a 2025 mistrial on the key rape charge now in its third trial. Jury selection began April 14, with opening statements April 21 and accuser Jessica Mann's pivotal testimony wrapping up this week amid intense cross-examination, injecting fresh uncertainty into resolution timelines expected within weeks. A skeptical California appellate panel last week bolstered odds for 20-30 years (24.9%) by likely upholding his 16-year sentence there, while his age-74 health crises and six years served fuel no-additional-time bets despite the partial 2025 sexual assault conviction pending sentencing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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