The SpaceX IPO on June 12, which valued the company near $2.1 trillion at debut and lifted Elon Musk’s estimated net worth to roughly $1.1 trillion, anchors the 98.9% market-implied odds on an 800 billion-plus outcome for June 30. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, reflects the durable addition of Musk’s substantial SpaceX stake alongside his Tesla holdings, now trading near $400 per share. With only two weeks until resolution, near-term volatility in TSLA or SPCX prices would need to exceed recent precedent to push net worth materially below the threshold. Modest swings in equity markets or any final adjustments to private-asset valuations remain the primary variables that could still influence the precise closing figure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+ 98.9%
740-760b <1%
700-720b <1%
780-800b <1%
$49,661 Vol.
$49,661 Vol.
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
1%
800b+
99%
800b+ 98.9%
740-760b <1%
700-720b <1%
780-800b <1%
$49,661 Vol.
$49,661 Vol.
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
1%
800b+
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The SpaceX IPO on June 12, which valued the company near $2.1 trillion at debut and lifted Elon Musk’s estimated net worth to roughly $1.1 trillion, anchors the 98.9% market-implied odds on an 800 billion-plus outcome for June 30. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, reflects the durable addition of Musk’s substantial SpaceX stake alongside his Tesla holdings, now trading near $400 per share. With only two weeks until resolution, near-term volatility in TSLA or SPCX prices would need to exceed recent precedent to push net worth materially below the threshold. Modest swings in equity markets or any final adjustments to private-asset valuations remain the primary variables that could still influence the precise closing figure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes