**Rising inflation pressures are the dominant factor underpinning the 74% implied probability of a Bank of Korea rate hike in July.** May 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—exceeding consensus and marking the highest reading since March 2024—driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with core inflation also firming to 2.5%. At its May 28 meeting, the BOK held the benchmark rate at 2.50% for the eighth consecutive time but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7% while lifting the growth outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor strength; Governor Shin Hyun-song has since emphasized the need to tighten policy “on time” to anchor prices near the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reinforced by dissenting board members favoring an immediate increase, has shifted trader consensus toward tightening despite the still-elevated 27% odds of no change. The July meeting remains the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Aumento 74%
Sin cambios 27%
Disminuir <1%
$34,604 Vol.
$34,604 Vol.
16 jul 2026
Disminuir
<1%
Sin cambios
27%
Aumento
74%
Aumento 74%
Sin cambios 27%
Disminuir <1%
$34,604 Vol.
$34,604 Vol.
16 jul 2026
Disminuir
$14,723 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambios
$10,138 Vol.
27%
Aumento
$9,743 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Rising inflation pressures are the dominant factor underpinning the 74% implied probability of a Bank of Korea rate hike in July.** May 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—exceeding consensus and marking the highest reading since March 2024—driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with core inflation also firming to 2.5%. At its May 28 meeting, the BOK held the benchmark rate at 2.50% for the eighth consecutive time but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7% while lifting the growth outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor strength; Governor Shin Hyun-song has since emphasized the need to tighten policy “on time” to anchor prices near the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reinforced by dissenting board members favoring an immediate increase, has shifted trader consensus toward tightening despite the still-elevated 27% odds of no change. The July meeting remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$34,604Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Rising inflation pressures are the dominant factor underpinning the 74% implied probability of a Bank of Korea rate hike in July.** May 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—exceeding consensus and marking the highest reading since March 2024—driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with core inflation also firming to 2.5%. At its May 28 meeting, the BOK held the benchmark rate at 2.50% for the eighth consecutive time but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7% while lifting the growth outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor strength; Governor Shin Hyun-song has since emphasized the need to tighten policy “on time” to anchor prices near the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reinforced by dissenting board members favoring an immediate increase, has shifted trader consensus toward tightening despite the still-elevated 27% odds of no change. The July meeting remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$34,604Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Rising inflation pressures are the dominant factor underpinning the 74% implied probability of a Bank of Korea rate hike in July.** May 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—exceeding consensus and marking the highest reading since March 2024—driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with core inflation also firming to 2.5%. At its May 28 meeting, the BOK held the benchmark rate at 2.50% for the eighth consecutive time but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7% while lifting the growth outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor strength; Governor Shin Hyun-song has since emphasized the need to tighten policy “on time” to anchor prices near the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reinforced by dissenting board members favoring an immediate increase, has shifted trader consensus toward tightening despite the still-elevated 27% odds of no change. The July meeting remains the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes