Anthropic’s rapid climb to a $965 billion post-money valuation after its $65 billion Series H round in late May 2026, followed by a confidential S-1 filing on June 1, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO market cap well above $1 trillion. Strong demand from major investors, Claude’s competitive positioning against OpenAI, and accelerating enterprise revenue growth support the 48.5% probability on the 1.8T+ bracket, while the 22% share for 1.2–1.5T reflects caution around post-IPO volatility and typical AI valuation compression. The low 5.3% odds on no IPO by end-2027 align with the company’s clear public-market preparations and favorable 2026–2027 IPO window for large tech listings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1.8T+ 49%
1.2–1.5T 22%
1.5–1.8T 13.6%
0.9–1.2T 11.8%
$153,175 Vol.
$153,175 Vol.
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
12%
1.2–1.5T
22%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
49%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 49%
1.2–1.5T 22%
1.5–1.8T 13.6%
0.9–1.2T 11.8%
$153,175 Vol.
$153,175 Vol.
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
12%
1.2–1.5T
22%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
49%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid climb to a $965 billion post-money valuation after its $65 billion Series H round in late May 2026, followed by a confidential S-1 filing on June 1, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO market cap well above $1 trillion. Strong demand from major investors, Claude’s competitive positioning against OpenAI, and accelerating enterprise revenue growth support the 48.5% probability on the 1.8T+ bracket, while the 22% share for 1.2–1.5T reflects caution around post-IPO volatility and typical AI valuation compression. The low 5.3% odds on no IPO by end-2027 align with the company’s clear public-market preparations and favorable 2026–2027 IPO window for large tech listings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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