Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% "No" for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigation despite an ongoing civil dispute with the Pentagon. The Defense Department labeled Anthropic a supply chain risk in March over refused contract terms on AI use for surveillance or weapons, prompting lawsuits where judges recently rejected enforcement attempts, including a DOJ bid to delay appeals on April 24. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signaled de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though courts have prioritized First Amendment protections in the civil case.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$162,048 Vol.
$162,048 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$162,048 Vol.
$162,048 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% "No" for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigation despite an ongoing civil dispute with the Pentagon. The Defense Department labeled Anthropic a supply chain risk in March over refused contract terms on AI use for surveillance or weapons, prompting lawsuits where judges recently rejected enforcement attempts, including a DOJ bid to delay appeals on April 24. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signaled de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though courts have prioritized First Amendment protections in the civil case.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$162,048Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% "No" for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigation despite an ongoing civil dispute with the Pentagon. The Defense Department labeled Anthropic a supply chain risk in March over refused contract terms on AI use for surveillance or weapons, prompting lawsuits where judges recently rejected enforcement attempts, including a DOJ bid to delay appeals on April 24. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signaled de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though courts have prioritized First Amendment protections in the civil case.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$162,048Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% "No" for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigation despite an ongoing civil dispute with the Pentagon. The Defense Department labeled Anthropic a supply chain risk in March over refused contract terms on AI use for surveillance or weapons, prompting lawsuits where judges recently rejected enforcement attempts, including a DOJ bid to delay appeals on April 24. Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signaled de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though courts have prioritized First Amendment protections in the civil case.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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