The World Cup Fair Play Award market stays tightly contested because the outcome hinges on cumulative disciplinary points tallied across every match, creating wide variance before kickoff. France holds the highest implied probability at 26.5% on the strength of its recent squad discipline and tactical control, yet England, South Korea, Canada, and Japan sit within a narrow band behind it, reflecting comparable historical card rates and playing styles. Numerous other entrants cluster between 10% and 20% as traders price in similar risks from physical encounters, referee interpretations, and fixture difficulty. This even distribution highlights how minor differences in yellow-card accumulation or red-card incidents can reorder the standings once group-stage play begins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrance 26%
Germany 22%
Spain 17%
Japan 15.6%
France
26%
Germany
22%
Spain
17%
Japan
16%
England
22%
Norway
12%
Türkiye
11%
Brazil
14%
Ivory Coast
10%
Argentina
9%
Sweden
8%
Belgium
8%
Portugal
13%
Iraq
7%
Australia
6%
Haiti
4%
Paraguay
4%
Senegal
3%
Netherlands
11%
Uruguay
3%
Panama
3%
Cape Verde
2%
New Zealand
9%
Czechia
11%
Colombia
18%
Curaçao
1%
Algeria
9%
Canada
10%
Croatia
18%
DR Congo
12%
Ecuador
8%
Ghana
8%
Iran
13%
Jordan
12%
Morocco
8%
Austria
12%
Switzerland
9%
Egypt
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Scotland
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Mexico
21%
Qatar
6%
South Africa
8%
South Korea
10%
Tunisia
9%
United States
6%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
19%
France 26%
Germany 22%
Spain 17%
Japan 15.6%
France
26%
Germany
22%
Spain
17%
Japan
16%
England
22%
Norway
12%
Türkiye
11%
Brazil
14%
Ivory Coast
10%
Argentina
9%
Sweden
8%
Belgium
8%
Portugal
13%
Iraq
7%
Australia
6%
Haiti
4%
Paraguay
4%
Senegal
3%
Netherlands
11%
Uruguay
3%
Panama
3%
Cape Verde
2%
New Zealand
9%
Czechia
11%
Colombia
18%
Curaçao
1%
Algeria
9%
Canada
10%
Croatia
18%
DR Congo
12%
Ecuador
8%
Ghana
8%
Iran
13%
Jordan
12%
Morocco
8%
Austria
12%
Switzerland
9%
Egypt
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Scotland
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Mexico
21%
Qatar
6%
South Africa
8%
South Korea
10%
Tunisia
9%
United States
6%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
19%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The World Cup Fair Play Award market stays tightly contested because the outcome hinges on cumulative disciplinary points tallied across every match, creating wide variance before kickoff. France holds the highest implied probability at 26.5% on the strength of its recent squad discipline and tactical control, yet England, South Korea, Canada, and Japan sit within a narrow band behind it, reflecting comparable historical card rates and playing styles. Numerous other entrants cluster between 10% and 20% as traders price in similar risks from physical encounters, referee interpretations, and fixture difficulty. This even distribution highlights how minor differences in yellow-card accumulation or red-card incidents can reorder the standings once group-stage play begins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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