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icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Gavi 19%

Kylian Mbappé 13%

Lamine Yamal 12%

Harry Kane 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Gavi 19%

Kylian Mbappé 13%

Lamine Yamal 12%

Harry Kane 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Gavi

$42 Vol.

13%

Kylian Mbappé

$2,578 Vol.

13%

Lamine Yamal

$226 Vol.

12%

Harry Kane

$320 Vol.

12%

Michael Olise

$0 Vol.

11%

Jude Bellingham

$0 Vol.

7%

Vinícius Jr.

$0 Vol.

7%

Ousmane Dembélé

$113 Vol.

7%

Bruno Fernandes

$0 Vol.

7%

Lionel Messi

$40 Vol.

6%

Rayan Cherki

$0 Vol.

6%

Erling Haaland

$0 Vol.

6%

Pedri

$0 Vol.

6%

Vitinha

$63 Vol.

6%

Declan Rice

$0 Vol.

5%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$500 Vol.

5%

Rodri

$0 Vol.

5%

Florian Wirtz

$217 Vol.

4%

Bukayo Saka

$143 Vol.

4%

Neymar

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among leading candidates for the 2026 World Cup Golden Ball reflect a wide-open field shaped by strong 2025-26 club campaigns and national team depth. Kylian Mbappé, Gavi, Lamine Yamal, and Harry Kane sit near the front of trader consensus due to their consistent goal contributions, assist tallies, and prior tournament experience, while emerging talents like Michael Olise and established midfield anchors such as Jude Bellingham and Rodri add further competition. Recent form across top European leagues has kept expectations balanced, with no single player pulling clear on metrics like goals, playmaking, or team advancement prospects heading into the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,242
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among leading candidates for the 2026 World Cup Golden Ball reflect a wide-open field shaped by strong 2025-26 club campaigns and national team depth. Kylian Mbappé, Gavi, Lamine Yamal, and Harry Kane sit near the front of trader consensus due to their consistent goal contributions, assist tallies, and prior tournament experience, while emerging talents like Michael Olise and established midfield anchors such as Jude Bellingham and Rodri add further competition. Recent form across top European leagues has kept expectations balanced, with no single player pulling clear on metrics like goals, playmaking, or team advancement prospects heading into the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,242
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 20 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavi" con 13%, seguido de "Kylian Mbappé" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 13¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner", explora los 20 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" es "Gavi" con 13%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kylian Mbappé" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.