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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

Round of 16 35%

Round of 32 26%

Quarterfinals 18%

Semifinals 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Round of 16 35%

Round of 32 26%

Quarterfinals 18%

Semifinals 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Group Stage

$497 Vol.

3%

Round of 32

$534 Vol.

26%

Round of 16

$161 Vol.

41%

Quarterfinals

$128 Vol.

18%

Semifinals

$0 Vol.

14%

Final

$10 Vol.

10%

Champion

$270 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a revitalized squad under Julian Nagelsmann, blending emerging attackers Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz with veterans like captain Joshua Kimmich and the surprise return of 40-year-old goalkeeper Manuel Neuer. Drawn in Group E against Curaçao, Côte d'Ivoire, and Ecuador, Die Mannschaft are widely viewed as group favorites after comfortable UEFA qualification and recent warm-up wins, including a 2-1 victory over the United States. Trader pricing reflects this baseline strength alongside the expanded 48-team format's deeper knockout path, tempered by historical group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022 plus minor injury concerns around key players. The consensus around Round of 16 or later exits aligns with expectations of advancement followed by challenging early knockout matchups.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,600
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a revitalized squad under Julian Nagelsmann, blending emerging attackers Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz with veterans like captain Joshua Kimmich and the surprise return of 40-year-old goalkeeper Manuel Neuer. Drawn in Group E against Curaçao, Côte d'Ivoire, and Ecuador, Die Mannschaft are widely viewed as group favorites after comfortable UEFA qualification and recent warm-up wins, including a 2-1 victory over the United States. Trader pricing reflects this baseline strength alongside the expanded 48-team format's deeper knockout path, tempered by historical group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022 plus minor injury concerns around key players. The consensus around Round of 16 or later exits aligns with expectations of advancement followed by challenging early knockout matchups.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,600
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Round of 16" at 41%, followed by "Round of 32" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" is "Round of 16" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Round of 32" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.