Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5% on Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of official Israeli government announcements, Knesset legislation, or Security Cabinet decisions advancing formal annexation in the past 30 days. Recent developments center on accelerated de facto measures in the West Bank, including April approvals for new settlements and land registration expansions, while Gaza operations remain focused on military security control and Hamas neutralization amid stalled ceasefire talks. International condemnation of West Bank actions underscores barriers to Gaza incorporation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden Netanyahu-led declaration post-major battlefield gains or U.S. policy reversal, though the tight two-month timeline renders this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$88,053 Vol.
$88,053 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$88,053 Vol.
$88,053 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5% on Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of official Israeli government announcements, Knesset legislation, or Security Cabinet decisions advancing formal annexation in the past 30 days. Recent developments center on accelerated de facto measures in the West Bank, including April approvals for new settlements and land registration expansions, while Gaza operations remain focused on military security control and Hamas neutralization amid stalled ceasefire talks. International condemnation of West Bank actions underscores barriers to Gaza incorporation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden Netanyahu-led declaration post-major battlefield gains or U.S. policy reversal, though the tight two-month timeline renders this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$88,053End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5% on Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of official Israeli government announcements, Knesset legislation, or Security Cabinet decisions advancing formal annexation in the past 30 days. Recent developments center on accelerated de facto measures in the West Bank, including April approvals for new settlements and land registration expansions, while Gaza operations remain focused on military security control and Hamas neutralization amid stalled ceasefire talks. International condemnation of West Bank actions underscores barriers to Gaza incorporation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden Netanyahu-led declaration post-major battlefield gains or U.S. policy reversal, though the tight two-month timeline renders this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$88,053End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5% on Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, 2026, driven by the complete absence of official Israeli government announcements, Knesset legislation, or Security Cabinet decisions advancing formal annexation in the past 30 days. Recent developments center on accelerated de facto measures in the West Bank, including April approvals for new settlements and land registration expansions, while Gaza operations remain focused on military security control and Hamas neutralization amid stalled ceasefire talks. International condemnation of West Bank actions underscores barriers to Gaza incorporation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden Netanyahu-led declaration post-major battlefield gains or U.S. policy reversal, though the tight two-month timeline renders this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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