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icon for World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

icon for World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

5% chance
Polymarket

$129,517 Vol.

5% chance
Polymarket

$129,517 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FIFA's March 30 release of the full 2026 World Cup match schedule, confirming three Mexican venues—Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, Estadio Guadalajara, and Estadio Monterrey—with group stage and knockout fixtures intact, has solidified trader consensus against relocation at 94.8% implied probability for "No." Earlier February reports of cartel violence in Jalisco prompted speculation and FIFA's review of clauses allowing venue shifts, but the governing body rejected related requests, such as Iran's bid to move U.S. games to Mexico, emphasizing original host city plans across USA, Canada, and Mexico. Despite a late April report of violence near Guadalajara, no official changes or postponement announcements have emerged, underscoring logistical commitments and security preparations for the June 11 kickoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,517
End Date
Jun 10, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FIFA's March 30 release of the full 2026 World Cup match schedule, confirming three Mexican venues—Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, Estadio Guadalajara, and Estadio Monterrey—with group stage and knockout fixtures intact, has solidified trader consensus against relocation at 94.8% implied probability for "No." Earlier February reports of cartel violence in Jalisco prompted speculation and FIFA's review of clauses allowing venue shifts, but the governing body rejected related requests, such as Iran's bid to move U.S. games to Mexico, emphasizing original host city plans across USA, Canada, and Mexico. Despite a late April report of violence near Guadalajara, no official changes or postponement announcements have emerged, underscoring logistical commitments and security preparations for the June 11 kickoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,517
End Date
Jun 10, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

" World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 5% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 5¢, the market collectively assigns a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" has generated $129.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" is 5% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.