FIFA's March 30 release of the full 2026 World Cup match schedule, confirming three Mexican venues—Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, Estadio Guadalajara, and Estadio Monterrey—with group stage and knockout fixtures intact, has solidified trader consensus against relocation at 94.8% implied probability for "No." Earlier February reports of cartel violence in Jalisco prompted speculation and FIFA's review of clauses allowing venue shifts, but the governing body rejected related requests, such as Iran's bid to move U.S. games to Mexico, emphasizing original host city plans across USA, Canada, and Mexico. Despite a late April report of violence near Guadalajara, no official changes or postponement announcements have emerged, underscoring logistical commitments and security preparations for the June 11 kickoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$129,517 Vol.
$129,517 Vol.
$129,517 Vol.
$129,517 Vol.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...FIFA's March 30 release of the full 2026 World Cup match schedule, confirming three Mexican venues—Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, Estadio Guadalajara, and Estadio Monterrey—with group stage and knockout fixtures intact, has solidified trader consensus against relocation at 94.8% implied probability for "No." Earlier February reports of cartel violence in Jalisco prompted speculation and FIFA's review of clauses allowing venue shifts, but the governing body rejected related requests, such as Iran's bid to move U.S. games to Mexico, emphasizing original host city plans across USA, Canada, and Mexico. Despite a late April report of violence near Guadalajara, no official changes or postponement announcements have emerged, underscoring logistical commitments and security preparations for the June 11 kickoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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