Petr Yan leads the market at 61.5% implied probability because he captured the UFC bantamweight title from Merab Dvalishvili via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025, setting up a highly anticipated trilogy bout that both fighters and the promotion have publicly targeted for summer 2026. Recent comments from Dvalishvili confirm he is waiting on Yan’s recovery timeline while rejecting other matchmaking, with the champion taking an extended layoff after his win. Umar Nurmagomedov (24.6%) and Cory Sandhagen (23.8%) remain secondary options due to their prior title challenges against Dvalishvili in 2025 and strong divisional rankings, though neither has received confirmed offers. Lower-probability names such as Aiemann Zahabi and Song Yadong reflect broader bantamweight contender depth but lack direct recent momentum or reported negotiations for this specific matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 62%
Umar Nurmagomedov 24.6%
Cory Sandhagen 23.8%
Song Yadong 5.1%
$1,158,956 Vol.
$1,158,956 Vol.
Petr Yan
62%
Umar Nurmagomedov
25%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Song Yadong
5%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Rob Font
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
20%
Petr Yan 62%
Umar Nurmagomedov 24.6%
Cory Sandhagen 23.8%
Song Yadong 5.1%
$1,158,956 Vol.
$1,158,956 Vol.
Petr Yan
62%
Umar Nurmagomedov
25%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Song Yadong
5%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Rob Font
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
20%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads the market at 61.5% implied probability because he captured the UFC bantamweight title from Merab Dvalishvili via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025, setting up a highly anticipated trilogy bout that both fighters and the promotion have publicly targeted for summer 2026. Recent comments from Dvalishvili confirm he is waiting on Yan’s recovery timeline while rejecting other matchmaking, with the champion taking an extended layoff after his win. Umar Nurmagomedov (24.6%) and Cory Sandhagen (23.8%) remain secondary options due to their prior title challenges against Dvalishvili in 2025 and strong divisional rankings, though neither has received confirmed offers. Lower-probability names such as Aiemann Zahabi and Song Yadong reflect broader bantamweight contender depth but lack direct recent momentum or reported negotiations for this specific matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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