Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili’s next bout because the UFC has repeatedly signaled a trilogy rematch after Yan reclaimed the bantamweight title via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili has publicly confirmed he is waiting on Yan, who has cited recovery time and scheduling flexibility, pushing potential dates into late summer or beyond. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 24.6% on the strength of his prior title challenge against Dvalishvili and status as the division’s top-ranked contender, while Cory Sandhagen at 23.8% reflects ongoing interest in a rematch of their recent dominant encounter. Lower-probability names such as Aiemann Zahabi and Song Yadong track their current rankings and activity levels but lack confirmed negotiations. No other bouts have been officially booked as of mid-June 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 62%
Umar Nurmagomedov 24.6%
Cory Sandhagen 23.8%
Song Yadong 5.1%
$1,158,956 Vol.
$1,158,956 Vol.
Petr Yan
62%
Umar Nurmagomedov
25%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Song Yadong
5%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Rob Font
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
20%
Petr Yan 62%
Umar Nurmagomedov 24.6%
Cory Sandhagen 23.8%
Song Yadong 5.1%
$1,158,956 Vol.
$1,158,956 Vol.
Petr Yan
62%
Umar Nurmagomedov
25%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Song Yadong
5%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Rob Font
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
20%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili’s next bout because the UFC has repeatedly signaled a trilogy rematch after Yan reclaimed the bantamweight title via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili has publicly confirmed he is waiting on Yan, who has cited recovery time and scheduling flexibility, pushing potential dates into late summer or beyond. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 24.6% on the strength of his prior title challenge against Dvalishvili and status as the division’s top-ranked contender, while Cory Sandhagen at 23.8% reflects ongoing interest in a rematch of their recent dominant encounter. Lower-probability names such as Aiemann Zahabi and Song Yadong track their current rankings and activity levels but lack confirmed negotiations. No other bouts have been officially booked as of mid-June 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions