Petr Yan leads the market at 67.5% implied probability due to the confirmed UFC bantamweight title trilogy following his December 2025 victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323. Both fighters have repeatedly endorsed the rematch once Dvalishvili recovers, with Yan stating it will occur in spring or summer 2026 and Dvalishvili dismissing other contenders while confirming the booking. Dvalishvili’s recent wrestling bout against Frankie Edgar at RAF 9 served as a tune-up to maintain sharpness ahead of the trilogy. Lower probabilities for Umar Nurmagomedov, Cory Sandhagen, and others reflect Dvalishvili’s public rebuff of alternative matchups and the division’s focus on resolving the Yan rivalry first.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 65%
Cory Sandhagen 23.8%
Song Yadong 5.1%
Sean O'Malley 3.9%
$1,158,954 Vol.
$1,158,954 Vol.
Petr Yan
65%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Song Yadong
5%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Umar Nurmagomedov
24%
Payton Talbott
1%
Rob Font
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
20%
Petr Yan 65%
Cory Sandhagen 23.8%
Song Yadong 5.1%
Sean O'Malley 3.9%
$1,158,954 Vol.
$1,158,954 Vol.
Petr Yan
65%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Song Yadong
5%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Umar Nurmagomedov
24%
Payton Talbott
1%
Rob Font
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
20%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads the market at 67.5% implied probability due to the confirmed UFC bantamweight title trilogy following his December 2025 victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323. Both fighters have repeatedly endorsed the rematch once Dvalishvili recovers, with Yan stating it will occur in spring or summer 2026 and Dvalishvili dismissing other contenders while confirming the booking. Dvalishvili’s recent wrestling bout against Frankie Edgar at RAF 9 served as a tune-up to maintain sharpness ahead of the trilogy. Lower probabilities for Umar Nurmagomedov, Cory Sandhagen, and others reflect Dvalishvili’s public rebuff of alternative matchups and the division’s focus on resolving the Yan rivalry first.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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