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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Khamzat Chimaev 73%

Sean Strickland 23.7%

Nassourdine Imavov 6.1%

Caio Borralho <1%

Polymarket

$365,850 Vol.

Khamzat Chimaev 73%

Sean Strickland 23.7%

Nassourdine Imavov 6.1%

Caio Borralho <1%

Polymarket

$365,850 Vol.

Khamzat Chimaev

$37,676 Vol.

73%

Sean Strickland

$6,822 Vol.

24%

Nassourdine Imavov

$3,909 Vol.

6%

Caio Borralho

$45,725 Vol.

1%

Dricus Du Plessis

$23,849 Vol.

<1%

Brendan Allen

$25,392 Vol.

<1%

Jared Cannonier

$63,967 Vol.

<1%

Anthony Hernandez

$5,145 Vol.

<1%

Reinier de Ridder

$45,423 Vol.

<1%

Robert Whittaker

$63,699 Vol.

<1%

Israel Adesanya

$44,244 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Khamzat Chimaev's 73% implied probability as reigning UFC Middleweight champion stems from his dominant title win over Dricus du Plessis and recovery from a foot injury that sidelined him until April 2026, positioning him strongly for his first defense against Sean Strickland at UFC 328 on May 9 in Newark. Recent sparring footage shows Chimaev mauling Brendan Allen, underscoring his wrestling and grappling edge over Strickland's high-volume striking, while trader consensus reflects his undefeated streak and multi-division potential. Strickland's 23.5% reflects his recent third-round finish of Anthony Hernandez in February, reestablishing contender status amid heated rivalry trash talk. Nassourdine Imavov's 6.3% odds highlight his 2025 knockouts of Israel Adesanya and Caio Borralho, keeping him as a stylistic threat if the title picture shifts.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$365,850
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Khamzat Chimaev's 73% implied probability as reigning UFC Middleweight champion stems from his dominant title win over Dricus du Plessis and recovery from a foot injury that sidelined him until April 2026, positioning him strongly for his first defense against Sean Strickland at UFC 328 on May 9 in Newark. Recent sparring footage shows Chimaev mauling Brendan Allen, underscoring his wrestling and grappling edge over Strickland's high-volume striking, while trader consensus reflects his undefeated streak and multi-division potential. Strickland's 23.5% reflects his recent third-round finish of Anthony Hernandez in February, reestablishing contender status amid heated rivalry trash talk. Nassourdine Imavov's 6.3% odds highlight his 2025 knockouts of Israel Adesanya and Caio Borralho, keeping him as a stylistic threat if the title picture shifts.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$365,850
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Khamzat Chimaev" at 73%, followed by "Sean Strickland" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $365.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Khamzat Chimaev" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.