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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall 43%

Ante Delija 33.1%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Serghei Spivac 10.4%

Polymarket

$324,274 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 43%

Ante Delija 33.1%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Serghei Spivac 10.4%

Polymarket

$324,274 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$4,141 Vol.

43%

Ante Delija

$111 Vol.

33%

Ciryl Gane

$3,700 Vol.

28%

Serghei Spivac

$101 Vol.

10%

Jailton Almeida

$113 Vol.

5%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$47,791 Vol.

5%

Derrick Lewis

$9,144 Vol.

5%

Alexander Volkov

$26,639 Vol.

2%

Marcin Tybura

$166,213 Vol.

1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$116 Vol.

19%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,145 Vol.

<1%

Tyrell Fortune

$19 Vol.

41%

Rizvan Kuniev

$19 Vol.

31%

Josh Hokit

$19 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Josh Hokit’s rapid ascent, including a unanimous decision over Curtis Blaydes and back-to-back stoppages, has positioned the undefeated contender at the forefront amid Tom Aspinall’s extended recovery from October eye surgery. Aspinall remains the lineal champion yet faces ongoing questions about his 2026 availability, fueling speculation of a vacant or interim title picture that could open paths for Ciryl Gane, Sergei Pavlovich, or others. Hokit’s upcoming bout with Derrick Lewis on the June 14 White House card adds immediate momentum, while the division’s depth and Aspinall’s uncertain return timeline keep the top probabilities tightly clustered around 40-45 percent. Trader consensus reflects this competitive uncertainty rather than any single decisive outcome.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$324,274
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Josh Hokit’s rapid ascent, including a unanimous decision over Curtis Blaydes and back-to-back stoppages, has positioned the undefeated contender at the forefront amid Tom Aspinall’s extended recovery from October eye surgery. Aspinall remains the lineal champion yet faces ongoing questions about his 2026 availability, fueling speculation of a vacant or interim title picture that could open paths for Ciryl Gane, Sergei Pavlovich, or others. Hokit’s upcoming bout with Derrick Lewis on the June 14 White House card adds immediate momentum, while the division’s depth and Aspinall’s uncertain return timeline keep the top probabilities tightly clustered around 40-45 percent. Trader consensus reflects this competitive uncertainty rather than any single decisive outcome.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$324,274
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Hokit" at 46%, followed by "Tom Aspinall" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $324.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Josh Hokit" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Aspinall" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.