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Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

icon for Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$214,823 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket

$214,823 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$26,041 Vol.

96%

icon for New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

$9,338 Vol.

93%

icon for Democrats (D)

Democrats (D)

$21,462 Vol.

92%

icon for Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

$11,923 Vol.

86%

icon for Prerod (PVP)

Prerod (PVP)

$2,420 Vol.

30%

icon for Social Democrats (SD)

Social Democrats (SD)

$13,423 Vol.

9%

icon for Our Country (ND)

Our Country (ND)

$4,178 Vol.

8%

icon for Freedom Movement (GS)

Freedom Movement (GS)

$46,207 Vol.

4%

icon for Resni.ca (Res)

Resni.ca (Res)

$50,503 Vol.

4%

icon for The Left (Levica)

The Left (Levica)

$8,505 Vol.

3%

icon for Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

$2,062 Vol.

2%

icon for Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

$13,906 Vol.

2%

icon for Slovenian National Party (SNS)

Slovenian National Party (SNS)

$3,045 Vol.

2%

icon for Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

$859 Vol.

27%

icon for Party of Generations (SG)

Party of Generations (SG)

$950 Vol.

36%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's National Assembly remains in a hung parliament deadlock following the March 22, 2026, parliamentary election, where Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement secured 29 seats against 28 for Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), falling short of the 46 needed for a majority in the 90-seat chamber. On April 20, Golob conceded failure to build a coalition after rejections from centre-right groups like the NSi-led bloc (9 seats), Democrats (6 seats), and Resni.ca (5 seats), which formed a "third bloc" eyeing an SDS-led government. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to name a prime minister-designate on April 25, citing insufficient support, giving parties until mid-May to propose a viable candidate or trigger snap elections; trader consensus hinges on kingmaker negotiations amid policy sticking points like EU integration and economic priorities.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$214,823
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's National Assembly remains in a hung parliament deadlock following the March 22, 2026, parliamentary election, where Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement secured 29 seats against 28 for Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), falling short of the 46 needed for a majority in the 90-seat chamber. On April 20, Golob conceded failure to build a coalition after rejections from centre-right groups like the NSi-led bloc (9 seats), Democrats (6 seats), and Resni.ca (5 seats), which formed a "third bloc" eyeing an SDS-led government. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to name a prime minister-designate on April 25, citing insufficient support, giving parties until mid-May to propose a viable candidate or trigger snap elections; trader consensus hinges on kingmaker negotiations amid policy sticking points like EU integration and economic priorities.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$214,823
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)" at 96%, followed by "New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" has generated $214.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is "Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.